Group 1 - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a dual trend of rapid growth in energy storage while facing challenges in the power battery sector, particularly with the shift towards solid-state technology [2] - Major battery manufacturers are receiving strong orders in energy storage, leading to calls for capacity expansion, while upstream material prices are rebounding sharply, impacting profit growth [2] - The global pace of electrification is slowing, creating a "chilling effect" in the industry, but the strong momentum in energy storage remains a positive factor [2] Group 2 - The lithium battery industry is entering a critical phase of technological breakthroughs and expanding application scenarios, with a focus on innovation and collaboration for sustainable development [14][22] - Companies are emphasizing long-term strategies and technological innovation to adapt to the evolving market landscape, particularly in energy storage and solid-state battery development [28][49] - The industry is witnessing a structural improvement with increasing penetration rates in electric vehicles and rapid deployment of energy storage systems across various sectors [21][22]

以下文章来源于高工产研 ，作者GGII 高工产研 . 高工产业研究院（简称GGII）是一家专注国内新兴产业市场研究与咨询的第三方机构，涉及的新兴产业主要包括锂电池、储能、氢能与氢燃料电池、新 能源汽车、智能汽车、LED照明与显示、机器人、新材料等。 在需求超预期释放、国内外市场同步放量背景下，2025年成为中国储能锂电池市场的爆发增长年，储能锂电池出货规模实现大幅跃升，行业竞争逻 辑也从早期的"卡位入局"，加速转向"持续交付、稳定放量"的新阶段。 高工产研储能研究所（GGII）数据显示， 2025年中国储能锂电池出货量630GWh，同比增幅85%。 这一增长主要来自三方面： 3）数据中心等新应用场景逐步落地导入，为储能电芯需求增长持续贡献增量。 当前储能电芯行业的企业竞争核心聚焦于 产能规模、交付能力与客户结构 三大要素。随着国内外储能项目全面放量，各厂商在产能释放节奏、海外 订单拓展能力及供应链管理水平上的差距进一步凸显，出货量成为衡量企业综合实力的直观标尺。 1）国内层面，强制配储政策逐步退出、独立储能项目加速落地，推动行业从"被动配置"迈入"主动投资"新阶段； 2）海外市场受美国抢装潮、新兴市场需求释放 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the battery industry, including CATL (宁德时代), EVE Energy (亿纬锂能), Guoxuan High-Tech (国轩高科), and others, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance [3][4]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the installed capacity of power batteries in China experienced a seasonal decline, with a total of 42.0 GWh, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase but a 57.2% month-on-month decrease due to the Spring Festival [4]. - Exports of batteries remained robust, with a total export of 24.1 GWh in January, marking a 38.3% year-on-year increase, although it was down 26.0% month-on-month [4]. - The global power battery market is expected to continue its high growth trajectory in 2025, with a projected increase of 31.7% to 1,187 GWh, and Chinese manufacturers are expected to gain market share [4]. - The performance of leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain is showing signs of recovery, with significant profit increases forecasted for several key players [4]. Summary by Sections Installed Capacity and Exports - In January 2026, the installed capacity of power batteries was 42.0 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 8.4% and a month-on-month decrease of 57.2% [4]. - The export volume for batteries was 24.1 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 38.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 26.0% [4]. Market Trends - The global power battery market is projected to grow by 31.7% in 2025, reaching 1,187 GWh, with Chinese manufacturers increasing their market share [4]. - CATL and BYD's global market shares are expected to rise to 30% and 7.9%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0 and 3.8 percentage points [4]. Company Performance - Key companies in the lithium battery sector are expected to report significant profit increases, with Guoxuan High-Tech forecasting a net profit growth of 107% to 149% [4]. - The overall performance of the lithium battery supply chain is entering a recovery phase, with leading companies showing early signs of performance elasticity [4].

分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 锂电池 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 销量略增，板块持续关注 ——锂电池行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 联系人：李智 马嵚琦 ⚫ 1 月锂电池板块指数走势强于沪深 300 指数。2026 年 1 月，锂电 池指数上涨 3.31%，新能源汽车指数上涨 0.44%，而同期沪深 300 指数上涨 1.65%，锂电池指数走势强于沪深 300 指数。 风险提示：行业政策执行力度不及预期；细分领域价格大幅波动；新 能源汽车销量不及预期；行业竞争加剧；系统风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 28页 锂电池相对沪深 300 指数表现 发布日期：2026 年 02 月 12 日 资料来源：中原证券研究所，Wind 相关报告 《锂电池行业专题研究：新型储能产业链之河 南概况（三）》 2026-01-22 《锂电池行业月报：产业链价格总体上涨，板 块可关注》 2026-01-19 《锂电池行业月报：月度占比再创新高，板块 持续关注》 2025-12-15 投 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the lithium battery industry [6][10]. Core Insights - The lithium battery sector index outperformed the CSI 300 index in January 2026, with a rise of 3.31% compared to the CSI 300's 1.65% [3][10]. - In January 2026, China's new energy vehicle sales slightly increased to 945,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 0.11%, while the power battery installation reached 42.0 GWh, up 8.25% year-on-year [6][16]. - The prices of upstream raw materials have generally increased, with battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 19.17% and 26.67% respectively since early January 2026 [6][44][46]. - The report emphasizes the overall upward trend in industry prosperity, driven by domestic and international developments, price trends in sub-sectors, monthly sales, and industry growth expectations [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The lithium battery sector index showed a strong performance in January 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.66 percentage points [3][10]. - Among individual stocks, 55 stocks in the lithium battery concept sector rose, while 49 fell, with a median increase of 0.87% [10]. 2. New Energy Vehicle Sales and Industry Prices - In January 2026, new energy vehicle sales in China were 945,000 units, with a monthly market share of 40.28% [6][16]. - The report forecasts continued growth in the new energy vehicle sector, despite a projected slowdown in sales growth due to policy changes and base effects [20][23]. 3. Industry and Company News - The report highlights significant industry developments, including the establishment of a large electric vehicle charging network in China, which supports over 40 million new energy vehicles [58]. - Notable partnerships and technological advancements in the battery sector are also discussed, indicating ongoing innovation and collaboration within the industry [58].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected total investment exceeding 820 billion yuan by 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of over 74% [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Expansion and Investment - By 2025, there will be over 282 publicly announced investment projects across the entire lithium battery supply chain in China, including lithium batteries, key materials, solid-state batteries, and sodium batteries [1][2]. - Major manufacturers like CATL and Guoxuan High-Tech are accelerating their expansion plans, with Guoxuan High-Tech aiming to raise 5 billion yuan for a 60GWh lithium battery capacity project [2]. - The overall capacity utilization rate in the lithium battery industry is expected to exceed 80% by Q2 2026, indicating a recovery from previous overcapacity issues [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Supply Constraints - The supply of lithium battery cells is currently tight, with many manufacturers having initiated expansion plans that will come online in the latter half of 2025 [3][6]. - The demand for lithium batteries is projected to grow significantly, with total sales expected to reach 1,700.5 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.6% [7]. - The transition to larger cell formats, such as the shift from 300Ah to 314Ah cells, is underway, with future upgrades to even larger cells anticipated [11]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Technological Advancements - The iteration of battery cell production lines is becoming a core competitive advantage for manufacturers, with Guoxuan High-Tech benefiting from the introduction of its third-generation cells [8][9]. - The third-generation cells utilize a manganese iron phosphate chemistry, which can reduce costs by 10%-15% and improve low-temperature performance [9]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying as leading battery manufacturers strive to meet the growing demands of the market while optimizing their production capabilities [9]. Group 4: Cautious Outlook from Energy Storage Integrators - Energy storage integrators are approaching their battery expansion plans with caution, despite the increasing demand for storage batteries [14][15]. - Many integrators are facing challenges in securing battery supplies, leading to a reliance on high-priced purchases from external sources [15][16]. - The overall sentiment among energy storage companies is that while demand will continue to rise, the rapid increase in lithium battery production capacity may outpace demand growth, making further investments in battery production potentially unwise [16].

Group 1: Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a clear upward trend due to supply-side clearing and demand-side support, with expectations of profitability recovery in 2026 as inefficient companies exit the market and leading firms enhance efficiency through technological upgrades [1][14] - In 2025, China's photovoltaic industry saw a significant increase in installed capacity, reaching 315.07 GW, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.67%, despite a slowdown in the second half of the year [14][16] - The introduction of policies aimed at preventing "involution" in the industry has led to a recovery in prices, with polysilicon prices rising over 50% from June to November 2025, indicating a shift towards a more rational pricing environment [22][29] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - The wind power industry is expected to benefit from a favorable supply-demand structure, with significant growth anticipated in offshore wind projects and exports, particularly in 2025 [1][3] - The domestic wind power market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with offshore wind becoming a key focus area, supported by increasing demand for domestic and international markets [1][3] - Investment recommendations include focusing on leading manufacturers in the wind turbine sector and companies involved in high-barrier components such as submarine cables, which are expected to see increased demand [3][3] Group 3: New Energy Vehicles - The new energy vehicle sector in China is projected to achieve sales of 16.49 million units in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.2%, driven by stable market demand and improved product structures [2][3] - The industry is witnessing a recovery in profitability as supply-side chaos is effectively managed, with significant price increases in key materials like lithium hexafluorophosphate and vinyl carbonate [2][3] - The transition to a high-quality development phase is expected in 2026, supported by technological innovations and enhanced supply chain capabilities [2][3] Group 4: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability as inefficient production capacity is eliminated, with key materials seeing price increases and demand from new energy vehicles and energy storage continuing to rise [8][8] - Recommendations include focusing on leading companies in the battery and structural components sectors, which are expected to benefit from the industry's recovery [8][8] - The commercialization of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with several companies making significant progress in this area [8][8]

Core Insights - The strategic partnership between Guoxuan High-Tech and BASF aims to develop next-generation solid-state battery technology, focusing on high-performance materials through collaborative innovation [1][2]. Group 1: Partnership Details - Guoxuan High-Tech and BASF signed a memorandum in Hefei, Anhui, to jointly develop solid-state battery technology, emphasizing the co-development of core materials [1]. - The collaboration will leverage Guoxuan's capabilities in solid-state battery industrialization and BASF's expertise in advanced materials [1][2]. - The partnership aims to address key technical bottlenecks in the commercialization of solid-state batteries through joint design and targeted material development [1][2]. Group 2: Technological and Market Implications - Guoxuan has made progress with its Jinshi all-solid-state battery, achieving a 90% yield rate and an energy density of 300 Wh/kg on its pilot line [1]. - The collaboration reflects a competitive landscape in solid-state battery technology, with Guoxuan adopting a multi-faceted strategy that includes both all-solid-state and hybrid solid-liquid battery solutions [2]. - The partnership signifies a shift for Chinese battery companies from manufacturing leadership to innovation in materials and systems, aiming to create a unique technological moat [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the accelerated expansion of lithium battery manufacturers, with major companies like CATL and Guoxuan High-Tech planning significant investments to increase production capacity [2][5][6] - CATL announced a public issuance of corporate bonds to raise up to 5 billion yuan for project construction and operational funding [2] - Guoxuan High-Tech plans to raise 5 billion yuan to invest approximately 13 billion yuan in building 60GWh lithium battery capacity, positioning itself as a key player in the market [2][8] Group 2 - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a surge in investment, with over 282 projects planned in China, totaling more than 820 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 74% [2] - The supply of lithium battery cells is currently tight, with many manufacturers having initiated expansion plans that will come online in the latter half of 2025 [3][7] - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, with cumulative sales projected to reach 1,700.5GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.6% [7] Group 3 - The expansion of production capacity is primarily driven by the demand in the terminal market, especially in the energy storage sector, leading to a temporary supply-demand imbalance [7] - Guoxuan High-Tech's third-generation battery cells, which utilize a manganese iron phosphate chemical system, are expected to enhance competitiveness by reducing costs by 10%-15% [8] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards larger cell formats, with plans to transition from 300Ah to 587Ah cells, which may improve cost efficiency but also raise safety concerns [10] Group 4 - Despite the optimistic outlook, companies in the energy storage sector are cautious about expanding their battery production capacity due to market dynamics and competition [11][13] - The current market conditions have led to a situation where many companies are prioritizing international orders over domestic demand, creating pressure on local delivery capabilities [11][12] - Companies like Sungrow Power Supply are still evaluating the feasibility of entering battery cell production, indicating a cautious approach to future investments [14]

Core Viewpoint - Guoxuan High-Tech plans to raise up to 5 billion yuan for the expansion of lithium battery production capacity and to supplement working capital, amidst significant existing debt and cash flow challenges [1][3]. Group 1: Fundraising and Investment Plans - The company aims to raise no more than 5 billion yuan, with allocations of 2 billion yuan for a 20GWh power battery project, 1 billion yuan for a 20GWh new energy battery base, 1 billion yuan for a new lithium-ion battery manufacturing base, and the remaining 1 billion yuan for working capital [3]. - The total investment for the new capacity projects is over 14 billion yuan, combined with a previously announced 8 billion yuan expansion, bringing the total to 22 billion yuan [1][4]. Group 2: Financial Health and Debt Situation - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company had short-term borrowings of nearly 28 billion yuan and long-term borrowings exceeding 20 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio rising to 71.72% [5]. - The company's cash flow issues are highlighted by a significant increase in construction in progress, which rose from 14.8 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to 21.0 billion yuan, a 42.16% increase [5]. Group 3: Revenue and Profitability Concerns - The company expects a net profit of 2.5 to 3 billion yuan for 2025, with approximately 1.7 billion yuan derived from fair value changes related to the listing of Chery Automobile [8]. - Government subsidies and other income have exceeded net profit in recent years, indicating reliance on non-operational income sources [8]. Group 4: Accounts Receivable and Cash Flow Issues - The company's cash collection ratio is significantly lower than that of leading battery manufacturers, ranging between 60% and 70% [9]. - Accounts receivable and their turnover days have been increasing, with turnover days rising from 122 days in 2022 to 152 days in 2024, suggesting a resurgence of previous cash collection issues [11].