盛弘股份：公司季报点评：充电桩表现亮眼，看好25年储能业务高增

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][7]. Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth driven by the electric vehicle charging business, with a year-on-year increase of 45% in the third quarter [5][6]. - The energy storage segment has faced challenges, with a significant decline in revenue in the third quarter, but future growth is anticipated as the U.S. enters a rate-cutting cycle [6][7]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in industrial storage demand and expansion in overseas large-scale storage business, projecting a 35% growth in energy storage revenue for 2025 [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company reported revenue of 2.095 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.91%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 271 million yuan, down 0.93% year-on-year [5]. - The revenue breakdown includes 402 million yuan from industrial power supply (up 8.93% YoY), 619 million yuan from new energy power conversion equipment (up 6.84% YoY), and 859 million yuan from electric vehicle charging equipment (up 45% YoY) [5][6]. Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 3.153 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 18.9%, and expects to reach 4.969 billion yuan by 2026 [8][15]. - The electric vehicle charging segment is projected to grow significantly, with expected revenues of 1.19 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 40% increase [9][12]. Profitability Metrics - The company anticipates net profits of 410 million yuan for 2024, with earnings per share (EPS) of 1.32 yuan [8][15]. - The gross margin is expected to decline slightly from 41% in 2023 to 38.9% in 2024, reflecting competitive pressures in the energy storage market [8][15]. Market Comparison - The company is compared to peers with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25-30 times for 2024, suggesting a fair value range of 32.96 to 39.56 yuan per share [7][8].