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联想集团(00992)FY2024/25 Q2财报点评:混合式人工智能成效初现,FY2025H1三大业务年来首次一致取得强劲双位数增长

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - Lenovo Group achieved strong double-digit growth across all three business groups for the first time in three years during FY2025H1, driven by the initial success of hybrid AI [1][3] - Revenue for FY2025H1 reached 33.297billion,a21.9233.297 billion, a 21.92% YoY increase, with net profit rising 41.37% to 602 million [1] - Q2 FY2025 revenue grew 23.87% YoY and 15.56% QoQ to 17.85billion,withnetprofitincreasing43.8517.85 billion, with net profit increasing 43.85% YoY and 47.32% QoQ to 359 million [1] Business Segments Summary Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) - Revenue for FY2025H1 was approximately 24.9billion,a1524.9 billion, a 15% YoY increase, with operating profit growing 22% [3] - AI PCs accounted for 14% of total laptop shipments in China during Q2 FY2025 [3] - Smartphone revenue surged 43% YoY, driven by strong growth in APAC, EMEA, and North America [3] Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) - Revenue grew 65% YoY to 6.5 billion in FY2025H1, marking a historic high [3] - Operating losses narrowed by approximately 1millionQoQinQ2FY2025,movingclosertobreakeven[3]TheNeptuneliquidcoolingsolutionattractedneworders,leveragingexpertiseinhighperformancecomputing[3]SolutionsandServicesGroup(SSG)Q2FY2025revenuereachedarecordhighof1 million QoQ in Q2 FY2025, moving closer to breakeven [3] - The Neptune liquid cooling solution attracted new orders, leveraging expertise in high-performance computing [3] Solutions and Services Group (SSG) - Q2 FY2025 revenue reached a record high of 2.165 billion, with an operating margin of 20% [3] - SSG contributed 32% of the total operating profit from the three business groups [3] - The group is well-positioned to capitalize on hybrid AI trends, driving future growth [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for FY2025E and FY2026E is projected at 66.127billionand66.127 billion and 71.493 billion, respectively, with YoY growth of 16.3% and 8.1% [7][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.299billioninFY2025Eand1.299 billion in FY2025E and 1.462 billion in FY2026E, with EPS of 0.10and0.10 and 0.12, respectively [7][8] - P/E ratios for FY2025E and FY2026E are forecasted at 11.24X and 10.00X [7][8] Market Performance - Lenovo Group's stock underperformed the Hang Seng Index over the past year, with a -16.0% return compared to the index's -4.4% [3] - Current stock price is HKD 9.17, with a 52-week range of HKD 7.80-12.26 [3] - Market capitalization stands at HKD 113.75 billion [3]