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食品饮料行业:餐饮呈现平稳增长,餐饮产业链有望持续复苏
Dongxing Securities·2024-11-20 10:05

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [2][52]. Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry is experiencing stable growth in the restaurant sector, with a continuous recovery expected in the restaurant supply chain. The report emphasizes that the recovery of consumer spending, particularly in the restaurant industry, will be a key investment theme for the upcoming year, with a focus on the seasoning segment [9][10][17]. - In October, China's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45,396 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.8%, which is an acceleration of 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous month. The restaurant industry's revenue for October was 4,952 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [9][10][17]. - The seasoning industry is expected to see a recovery in demand, particularly as the peak consumption periods of New Year's and Spring Festival approach. The current valuation of the seasoning industry is at 38 times earnings, significantly lower than the 10-year average of 51.3 times, indicating potential for valuation recovery [10][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The food and beverage industry consists of 126 stocks, with a total market capitalization of 49,857.36 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.3% increase. The average price-to-earnings ratio for the industry is 22.34 [4][5][7]. Market Performance - Last week, various sub-sectors within the food and beverage industry experienced declines, with the following weekly performance: yellow wine (Changjiang) -1.26%, beer -1.89%, other alcoholic beverages -3.38%, meat products -3.39%, soft drinks -3.40%, seasoning and fermented products -4.05%, baijiu -4.81%, dairy products -6.94%, and other foods -8.05% [11][19]. Key Company Tracking - Notable announcements from key companies include: - Chongqing Beer announced a cash dividend of 1.50 yuan per share, totaling 725.96 million yuan [30]. - Qiaqia Food announced the first grant of stock options, with a total of 4.18 million options granted at a price of 19.97 yuan each [31]. - Chengde Lulux plans to repurchase shares with a total amount not exceeding 705 million yuan [32].