SINOSTEEL ENTEC(000928) 广发证券·2024-11-20 11:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sinosteel Engineering & Technology Co Ltd (000928 SZ) with a target price of 7 76 RMB per share [1][3] Core Views - Overseas orders are expected to maintain strong growth particularly in the Russian-speaking region with a significant increase in Q3 2024 [1] - The company's Q3 2024 gross margin improved significantly leading to better-than-expected earnings growth [1] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to further boost the company's overseas orders [1] Financial Performance - In Q1-Q3 2024 the company reported revenue of 12 603 billion RMB a YoY decrease of 26 56% while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 30 36% to 640 million RMB [1] - Q3 2024 revenue was 3 529 billion RMB a YoY decrease of 45 42% but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 48 67% to 221 million RMB [1] - Gross margin and net margin for Q1-Q3 2024 were 12 39% and 5 30% respectively up by 3 84 and 2 28 percentage points YoY [1] Order Book - In Q1-Q3 2024 the company signed new contracts worth 15 05 billion RMB a YoY increase of 4% with overseas contracts accounting for 12 29 billion RMB a YoY increase of 81% [1] - Q3 2024 new contracts were worth 5 35 billion RMB a YoY increase of 6% with overseas contracts contributing 4 18 billion RMB a YoY increase of 215% [1] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profit attributable to shareholders of 865 million RMB in 2024 1 038 billion RMB in 2025 and 1 188 billion RMB in 2026 [1] - EPS is forecasted to be 0 60 RMB in 2024 0 72 RMB in 2025 and 0 83 RMB in 2026 [2] Valuation Metrics - The company's P/E ratio is projected to be 11 89x in 2024 9 91x in 2025 and 8 66x in 2026 [2] - ROE is expected to be 10 0% in 2024 10 7% in 2025 and 10 9% in 2026 [2] Financial Ratios - Gross margin is forecasted to be 11 3% in 2024 11 1% in 2025 and 10 9% in 2026 [11] - Net margin is expected to be 5 0% in 2024 5 1% in 2025 and 5 1% in 2026 [11] - The debt-to-asset ratio is projected to be 61 9% in 2024 62 0% in 2025 and 61 3% in 2026 [11]