人形机器人行业跟踪专题1:关注Optimus核心进展
China Post Securities·2024-11-25 07:27

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [7] Core Viewpoints - The humanoid robot sector has recently ended a prolonged downturn, with various catalytic events driving industry development. Key factors include government financial policies, advancements in the industry chain, and the entry of leading domestic tech companies into humanoid robotics, which have collectively ignited market sentiment [35][36] - The current focus for investment in the humanoid robot industry includes the mapping of Tesla's Optimus supply chain to domestic markets and the promotion of a self-controlled supply chain by domestic humanoid terminal manufacturers. Tesla's Optimus is expected to begin small-scale trial production by the end of 2024, with mass production anticipated in 2025 [39][51] Summary by Sections Recent Catalysts and Industry Outlook - The humanoid robot sector has seen a resurgence due to multiple catalysts, including the introduction of financial policies by the government and the establishment of a standardization committee for humanoid robots. Events such as Tesla's "WE, ROBOT" conference and the launch of various humanoid robots at international exhibitions have further fueled optimism in the market [35][36] Tesla Supply Chain Supply Chain Progress Updates - Tesla's Optimus has undergone significant advancements, including the introduction of a new dexterous hand with enhanced capabilities. The company aims to reduce production costs to around $40,000 by 2025 and expects to sell units at $20,000 to $30,000 starting in 2026 [51][50] Related Companies - Key players in the supply chain include: - Actuator Assembly: Sanhua Intelligent Control, Top Group - Lead Screw: Wuzhou Xinchun, Beite Technology, Shuanglin Co. - Force Sensors: Keli Sensor, Amperon, Hanwei Technology - Reducers: Lide Harmonic, Shuanghuan Transmission - Dexterous Hands: Zhaowei Electromechanical, Mingzhi Electric [10][53]