Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Viewpoints - The film industry has a unique and diversified profit model, relying not only on traditional box office revenue but also on copyright sales, derivative product development, advertising sponsorship, international market expansion, and cooperation with streaming platforms [1][19] - The industry is characterized by cluster development and globalization, with countries implementing cluster strategies to occupy core positions in the industry chain and enhance competitive advantages [20] - The film industry is highly sensitive to economic changes and consumer income levels, indicating a high demand income elasticity [21] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The film industry encompasses film production, distribution, and exhibition, along with related economic activities such as audio-visual products and cinema construction [1] - The industry chain consists of three interrelated segments: production, distribution, and exhibition, which are crucial for the industry's development [2][26] Offline Market - The revenue model for the offline film industry includes both film revenue and cinema revenue [3] - The box office revenue is subject to a revenue-sharing model where 43% goes to production and distribution companies, while 57% is shared between cinemas and theater chains [3][39] - The box office performance is strongly correlated with release schedules, with significant contributions from key holiday periods [3][41] - As of December 3, 2024, the total box office revenue for the year is 404.47 billion yuan, showing a significant drop compared to 2023 [41][50] Online Market - The online film market is maturing, with a complete industry chain that includes IP supply, film production, and streaming platforms [4][64] - The number of online films released in 2023 decreased significantly compared to previous years, indicating a trend towards fewer but higher-quality productions [67] - Major streaming platforms are upgrading their revenue-sharing models to encourage the production of quality content [78][94] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality film production companies and leading cinema chains due to the strong recovery in offline film markets and the anticipated release of several quality films in 2025 [10][101] - In the online film market, attention should be given to leading video platforms that are adapting their revenue-sharing models to enhance content quality and market vitality [10][101]
传媒行业深度报告:银幕春秋:线下光影与线上风云
Wanlian Securities·2024-12-08 02:11