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保健品行业专题系列一:保健品行业产业链和重点企业解析
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-20 10:54
[Table_Title] 保健品行业产业链和重点企业解析 [Table_ReportType] ——保健品行业专题系列一[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点: Table_Summary] 2020-2024年间,我国保健品行业市场规模从3213.7亿元增长至4150.3 亿元,年均复合增长率达到6.60%,已成为仅次于美国的全球第二大保 健品市场。人均消费方面,我国人均保健品消费金额仅约为海外成熟市 场如澳大利亚/韩国/美国的1/5左右;渗透率方面,我国保健品市场消 费人群渗透率普遍偏低,其中65岁以上老年群体作为保健品主要消费 群体,渗透率仅为23.04%,而美国为73.04%,我国存在2-3倍的增长空 间。产业链方面,上游原料多样,多数赛道产能集中;中下游企业盈利 能力相对较强,加速海外布局;终端销售电商增长强劲,传统渠道承压。 随着监管完善,以及渠道、需求、供给的有效驱动,预计中长期我国保 健品行业仍将保持增长趋势,中下游代工与品牌盈利能力相对较强,建 议重点关注在产业链中下游积极布局,且渠道、研发实力较强的保健 品龙头企业。 投资要点: ⚫ 行业:预计中长期我国保健品行业仍将保持增 ...
保健品行业专题系列二:三大因素驱动行业成长,年轻消费相关市场前景可期
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-20 10:54
证券研究报告|食品饮料 [Table_Title] 三大因素驱动行业成长,年轻消费相关市场 前景可期 [Table_ReportType] ——保健品行业专题系列二[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点: Table_Summary] 渠道端,保健品渠道由线下转向线上的变换更能有效刺激消费者需求; 需求端,近年来居民亲历新冠感染,叠加老龄化趋势加剧,健康意识有 望持续强化;供给端,保健品品类逐渐细化,消费场景更加多样,吸引 年轻一代消费者入场。细分市场中,膳食营养补充领域为主流,运动营 养、儿童健康消费前景可期,传统滋补、体重管理面临下行挑战。随着 监管完善,以及渠道、需求、供给的有效驱动,预计中长期我国保健品 行业仍将保持增长趋势,我们判断与年轻消费和高功效相关的细分市 场,如运动营养、儿童健康、职场修复、抗衰老等是增长最快的赛道, 建议重点关注在这些高增长领域积极布局、渠道、研发、品牌实力较强 的保健品龙头企业。 投资要点: ⚫ 驱动因素:三大因素驱动行业成长。行业增长驱动因素包括:① 渠道端,保健品渠道由线下转向线上的变换带来更加精准的营销 方式,更能有效刺激消费者需求;②需求端,近年来居 ...
万联证券晨会-20251020
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-20 01:09
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.95%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 3.04%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 3.36%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,937.844 billion yuan [1][7] - In the Shenwan industry sector, banking, transportation, and textile and apparel led the gains, while electric equipment, electronics, and machinery equipment saw declines. Among concept sectors, the horse racing concept had the highest increase, while military restructuring, cultivated diamonds, and high-pressure fast charging faced the largest declines [1][7] - The Hong Kong market also saw declines, with the Hang Seng Index down by 2.48% and the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 4.05%. In contrast, the U.S. markets saw collective gains, with the Dow Jones up by 0.52%, the S&P 500 up by 0.53%, and the Nasdaq up by 0.52% [1][7] Important News - The U.S. government, under President Trump, is quietly easing several tariff policies, having exempted dozens of products from its so-called "reciprocal tariffs" in recent weeks. This move comes ahead of a Supreme Court hearing on "reciprocal tariffs" scheduled for early November, which could lead to the government being forced to refund a significant amount of tariffs if it loses [2][8] Industry Insights PCB Industry - The global PCB market is steadily growing, with a projected market size of 73.6 billion USD in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.8%. It is expected to reach 78.6 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.8%. China's PCB industry is leading globally, with an anticipated growth rate of 8.5% in 2025, driven by demand for high-layer and HDI boards [9][10] - Emerging fields such as server & storage and automotive electronics are rapidly increasing the demand for high-end PCBs. The growth in AI computing and the automotive sector is expected to significantly boost PCB demand [9][11] - Major PCB manufacturers are accelerating the expansion of high-end PCB production capacity, which is likely to benefit upstream equipment and materials. The global PCB equipment market is also steadily growing, with significant value in drilling and exposure equipment [9][12] Machinery Equipment Industry - The machinery equipment sector achieved a revenue of 998.76 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.31%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 75.032 billion yuan, up by 21.91%. This growth is attributed to the rapid development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, energy storage, and semiconductors [13][14] - The overall gross margin and net margin of the machinery equipment sector improved, with gross margins at 23.17% and net margins at 8.08%, reflecting effective cost control and operational efficiency improvements [14][15] - The rail transit equipment sector showed strong performance, with significant revenue and net profit growth, driven by increased infrastructure investment [15][17]
电子行业深度报告:AIPCB迎来景气扩张期,设备、材料有望受益
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-17 11:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the PCB industry [5] Core Insights - The global PCB market is steadily growing, driven by the ongoing development of AI computing power and the rapid expansion of emerging fields such as robotics and automotive electronics. The demand for high-end PCBs, particularly multilayer and HDI boards, is expected to rise significantly, becoming a core driver of the global PCB market [1][2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - PCB is a critical interconnection component used in assembling electronic parts, with a wide range of applications across various sectors including communications, consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and more. It is often referred to as the "mother of electronic products" [10][13] 2. Market Growth - The global PCB market is projected to reach USD 73.6 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.8%. By 2025, the market is expected to grow to USD 78.6 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 6.8%. The PCB industry in China is expected to grow at a rate of 8.5% in 2025, particularly in the high-end segments driven by AI computing demand [2][24][27] 3. Demand from Emerging Fields - Emerging sectors such as servers, storage, and automotive electronics are driving the demand for high-end PCBs. The performance of domestic PCB manufacturers is strong, with significant technological advancements and market positioning [3][34] 4. Production Expansion - Major PCB manufacturers are accelerating the expansion of high-end PCB production capacity, which is expected to benefit upstream equipment and materials. The cost of copper-clad laminates (CCL) is significant, and many domestic companies are actively investing in this area [3][4][20] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading PCB manufacturers that are strategically positioned in the high-end PCB market, as well as those in the upstream equipment and materials sectors, such as copper-clad laminates and drilling and exposure equipment [4][6]
机械设备行业跟踪报告:2025H1机械设备板块营收及归母净利润双增长,盈利能力有所提升
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-17 08:29
Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as outperforming the market, with expectations of a relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market over the next six months [28]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the mechanical equipment sector achieved a revenue of 998.76 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.31%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 75.032 billion yuan, growing by 21.91%. This growth is driven by the rapid development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, energy storage, and semiconductors, enhancing the global competitiveness of Chinese mechanical equipment [1][11]. - The overall gross margin and net margin of the mechanical equipment sector improved, with gross margin at 23.17% and net margin at 8.08%, reflecting an increase of 0.06 and 0.86 percentage points respectively compared to the same period in 2024. The effective cost control and operational efficiency improvements contributed significantly to profit growth, indicating a successful "cost reduction and efficiency enhancement" strategy [2][13]. Summary by Sections Mechanical Equipment Sector Performance - The mechanical equipment sector's revenue and net profit both showed positive year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, with net profit growth outpacing revenue growth, indicating improved profitability and operational quality [1][11]. Sub-Sector Analysis - Among the sub-sectors, the rail transit equipment II segment performed exceptionally well, with revenue and net profit growth rates of 24.73% and 47.76% respectively. Other segments such as general equipment, specialized equipment, and engineering machinery also reported growth, while the automation equipment segment experienced revenue growth without profit growth [3][16][19]. - The rail transit equipment II segment's high growth is attributed to significant infrastructure investments, including new urban rail transit and intercity rail projects, as well as overseas orders under the Belt and Road Initiative [19]. - The engineering machinery segment saw net profit growth double that of revenue growth, driven by a recovery in industry demand and a focus on operational quality by leading companies [19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on segments with strong profitability and high growth certainty, particularly in engineering machinery and rail transit equipment, where leading companies are expected to perform well due to their cost control capabilities and healthy cash flows [25][27].
万联晨会-20251017
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-17 00:35
市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 17 日 星期五 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周四 A 股缩量震荡,上证指数涨 0.1%报 3916.23 点,深证成指跌 0.25%,创业板指涨 0.38%;沪深两市成交额 1.93 万亿元。申万行业 方面,煤炭、银行、食品饮料等领涨;钢铁、有色金属、建筑材料等 领跌。概念板块方面海南自贸区、兵装重组、培育钻石等上涨,特钢 概念、光刻机、光热发电等下跌。港股方面,香港恒生指数收盘跌 0.09%报 25888.51 点,恒生科技指数跌 1.18%;海外方面,美国三大 股指全线收跌,道指跌 0.65%,标普 500 指数跌 0.63%,纳指跌 0.47%; 欧洲三大股指收盘全线上涨;亚太主要股指收盘集体上涨。 【重要新闻】 【增值税发票数据显示:今年前三季度全国企业设备更新加快推进】 国家税务总局增值税发票数据显示,全国企业设备更新加快推进,消 费品以旧换新政策成效明显。今年前三季度,工业企业采购机械设备 类金额同比增长 9.4%,其中民营企业采购金额同比 ...
银行行业月报:政策持续发力-20251016
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-16 08:37
政策持续发力 证券研究报告|银行 9 月社融存量增速 8.7%,增速较 8 月回落 0.1%:9 月,社融新增 3.53 万亿元,同比少增 0.23 万亿元。9 月社融同比少增,受政府 债发行放缓叠加信贷同比少增共同影响。9 月新增信贷和政府债净 融资规模分别为 1.61 万亿元和 1.19 万亿元, 分别同比少增 0.37 万亿元和 0.35 万亿元。9 月末,社融存量规模 437.08 万亿元,同 比增速 8.7%,增速较 8 月回落 0.1%。其中,2025 年 1-9 月,社融 新增合计 30.09 万亿元,同比多增 4.42 万亿元;政府债净融资额 达到 11.46 万亿元,同比多增 4.28 万亿元,政府债是支撑社融同 比多增最重要的力量。2024 年 10-12 月,政府债新增合计 4.12 万 亿元,考虑 2025 年新增政府债的剩余额度,我们预计政府债净融 资额或同比少增,同时对社融的支撑作用下降。 3297 M1 同比增速 7.2%,增速环比继续回升:9 月,M2 同比增长 8.4%, 增速环比回落 0.4%;新口径 M1 同比增长 7.2%,增速环比回升 1.2%, 除了 2024 年同 ...
万联晨会-20251016
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-16 00:54
[Table_Title] 万联晨会 市 场 研 究 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 16 日 星期四 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 证 券 研 究 报 告 周三 A 股缩量反弹,上证指数涨 1.22%报 3912.21 点,深证成指涨 1.73%,创业板指涨 2.36%;沪深两市成交额 2.07 万亿元。申万行业 方面,电力设备、汽车、电子等领涨;钢铁、石油石化、农林牧渔等 领跌。概念板块方面,细胞免疫治疗、PEEK 材料、高压快充等上涨, 兵装重组、转基因、深圳国企改革等下跌。港股方面,香港恒生指数 收盘涨 1.84%报 25910.6 点,恒生科技指数涨 2.57%,双双终结 7 连 跌;海外方面,美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一,道指跌 0.04%,标普 500 指数涨 0.4%,纳指涨 0.66%;欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一;亚太主要 股指收盘多数走高。 3297 【重要新闻】 【我国自研的 90GHz 实时示波器正式发布】在 2025 湾区半导体产业 生态博览会上,我国自研的 90GHz 实时示波器正式发布,这一成果标 志着我国在高端电子 ...
电力设备行业跟踪报告:风电板块25Q2业绩修复,塔筒环节表现较好
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-15 09:04
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market," indicating an expected increase in the industry index relative to the broader market by over 10% in the next six months [49]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the wind power industry chain experienced a recovery in performance, with total revenue reaching 179.40 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.35%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.82 billion yuan, up 16.19% year-on-year [1][12]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw continued recovery in performance, with total revenue of approximately 108.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.66% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.73% [1][12]. - The overall industry maintained high installation levels, with accelerated offshore project deliveries significantly improving the performance of the industry chain [1][12]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - The wind power industry chain's revenue for H1 2025 was 1794.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 29.35%, and net profit of 98.24 billion yuan, up 16.19% [1][12]. - Q2 2025 revenue was approximately 1089.73 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 32.66% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.73% [1][12]. Turbine Segment - The turbine segment saw revenue of 678.32 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.94%, while net profit was 21.72 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 3.10% year-on-year [2][20]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 436.88 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 50.02% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 80.95% [2][20]. Tower Segment - The tower segment's revenue for H1 2025 was 108.17 billion yuan, up 59.13% year-on-year, with net profit of 9.94 billion yuan, an increase of 43.60% [3][27]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 69.54 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 74.76% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 80.03% [3][27]. Submarine Cable Segment - The submarine cable segment reported revenue of 646.70 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.60%, but net profit decreased by 3.74% to 39.42 billion yuan [4][34]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 376.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.09% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.50% [4][34]. Other Segments - The bearing segment's revenue in H1 2025 was 40.44 billion yuan, up 34.15%, with net profit soaring by 1729.27% to 4.15 billion yuan [9][39]. - The forging segment achieved revenue of 70.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.72%, with net profit of 6.56 billion yuan, up 21.89% [40][40]. - The blade segment's revenue in Q2 2025 was 132.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.76%, with net profit of 8.58 billion yuan, up 131.33% [45][45].
万联晨会-20251015
Wanlian Securities· 2025-10-15 00:36
市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 15 日 星期三 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周二 A 股冲高回落,上证指数跌 0.62%报 3865.23 点,深证成指跌 2.54%,创业板指跌 3.99%,科创 50 跌 4.26%;沪深两市成交额 2.58 万亿元。申万行业方面,银行、煤炭、食品饮料等领涨;通信、电子、 有色等领跌。概念板块方面,培育钻石、白酒、中韩自贸区等上涨, 国家大基金持股、光刻机、先进封装等下跌。港股方面,香港恒生指 数收盘跌 1.73%报 25441.35 点,恒生科技指数跌 3.62%;海外方面, 美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一,道指涨 0.44%,标普 500 指数跌 0.16%, 纳指跌 0.76%;欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一;亚太主要股指收盘多数 下跌。 【重要新闻】 【国务院总理李强主持召开经济形势专家和企业家座谈会,听取对当 前经济形势和下一步经济工作的意见建议】李强说,对当前经济形势, 要以更宽的视野准确把握,从国际局势的变化来看我国经济的韧性, 进一步坚定信心、 ...