InventisBio (688382) 太平洋·2024-12-08 07:07Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 22.48 RMB, compared to the last closing price of 13.60 RMB [1][10][184]. Core Insights - The company focuses on developing small molecule targeted drugs, with pipelines in oncology, metabolism, and autoimmune diseases nearing harvest periods [1][10]. - The core investment logic is based on three points: stable cash flow from oncology pipelines, approaching data and business development harvest periods for metabolism and autoimmune pipelines, and significant upside potential with a projected peak revenue of 6.6 billion RMB for five core products [3][10]. - The company has successfully commercialized two oral targeted drugs for lung cancer and is advancing several products in clinical trials for breast cancer, gout, and psoriasis [10][23]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading player in small molecule drug development, established in January 2013 and listed on the STAR Market in July 2022 [23][24]. - It has two approved products in the lung cancer field: the third-generation EGFR TKI, Beifu, and the KRAS G12C inhibitor, Gesorese [23][24]. Oncology Pipeline - Beifu has shown excellent efficacy data and has been approved for both first-line and second-line treatment of EGFRm NSCLC, with ongoing expansion into postoperative adjuvant therapy [60][62]. - Gesorese has been approved for second-line KRAS G12C NSCLC treatment, with ongoing clinical trials for other indications [72][73]. Breast Cancer Pipeline - D-0502, an oral SERD, is in phase 3 clinical trials for HR+ breast cancer and is positioned as a leading product in the domestic market [90][105]. - The drug has shown promising early data, outperforming competitors in clinical trials [106]. Metabolism and Autoimmune Pipeline - D-0120, a URAT1 inhibitor for gout, has demonstrated an 80% response rate in phase 2 trials and is progressing in both China and the US [126][147]. - D-2570, a TYK2 inhibitor for psoriasis, has shown best-in-class potential with significant efficacy data in clinical trials [173][177]. Financial Projections and Valuation - The report forecasts a target market value of 13 billion RMB for the company, with a corresponding stock price of 22.48 RMB based on DCF and NPV methods [10][184]. - Revenue projections indicate a significant increase in sales from core products, with peak sales estimates for Beifu, Gesorese, D-0502, D-0120, and D-2570 reaching 30 billion RMB, 8.2 billion RMB, 7.5 billion RMB, 13.6 billion RMB, and 6.4 billion RMB respectively [186].