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通胀数据点评:CPI环比下降,PPI底部回升
Huafu Securities·2024-12-09 10:28

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In November, the CPI increased by 0.2% year-on-year, a decrease from the previous month's growth rate[2] - The CPI decreased by 0.6% month-on-month, a larger decline compared to the previous value[2] - Prices for clothing rose by 0.6% month-on-month, while education and entertainment prices fell by 0.7%[3] Group 2: PPI Insights - The PPI decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, but the decline was narrower by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month[2] - The PPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first positive change since the second half of the year[2] - Prices for production materials fell by 2.9% year-on-year, with a reduction in the decline by 0.4 percentage points from October[5] Group 3: Food Price Trends - Food and beverage prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month, contributing to a 0.5 percentage point drop in CPI[4] - Fresh vegetable prices decreased by 13.2% month-on-month, a significant increase in the decline compared to October[4] - Dairy prices rose by 0.2% month-on-month, marking the largest increase among food items in November[4] Group 4: Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected macroeconomic changes, geopolitical events, and significant fluctuations in overseas markets[8]