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计算机行业周报:信创:内外部因素共振,景气度加速上行
兴业证券·2024-12-10 06:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the computer industry, emphasizing the potential for excess returns from cross-year varieties due to their scarcity [12][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights the accelerating upward trend in the Xinchuang industry driven by both internal and external factors, particularly in the semiconductor sector, following new export control measures announced by the US [12][15]. - The report suggests a focus on AI applications and the potential for domestic companies to benefit from the ongoing shift towards localization and innovation in technology [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the importance of cross-year varieties and their potential for excess returns, particularly in December, which is seen as a window for traditional cross-year market activities [12]. - The report notes that the scarcity of leading companies with valuation advantages and sustainable growth capabilities will enhance excess returns [12]. 2. Xinchuang: Internal and External Factors Resonating, Accelerating Upward Trend 2.1 US Entity List Expansion - The US has added 140 new entities to its export control list, primarily in the semiconductor sector, highlighting the increasing importance of domestic production [15]. 2.2 Upward Trend in Xinchuang Industry - Domestic CPU manufacturers are accelerating iterations, with notable revenue growth reported by companies like Haiguang Information, which saw a 55.64% year-on-year increase in revenue [19]. 2.3 Investment Landscape in Xinchuang Industry - The report suggests continued attention to the Xinchuang industry chain, with specific recommendations for companies in various segments, including chips and software [28]. 3. Market Review - The computer index rose by 1.78% during the reporting period, underperforming compared to other indices [29]. 4. Major News - Significant developments in AI and cloud computing sectors are noted, including advancements in generative AI technologies and strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing cloud infrastructure [35][38]. 5. Company Dynamics - Various companies in the industry are actively engaging in strategic investments and partnerships to enhance their market positions and technological capabilities [52][56]. 6. Investment and Financing Summary - The report details recent financing activities in the computer industry, highlighting a trend towards investment in AI and enterprise services [53].