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医药生物行业2025年投资策略:星星之火,可以燎原
GF SECURITIES·2024-12-13 02:12

Investment Rating - The report rates the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry as "Buy" [9]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is influenced by multiple cycles, including macroeconomic factors affecting government finance and basic medical insurance funding, ongoing reforms in basic medical insurance, strong regulatory oversight, and the initial stages of global market expansion for certain companies [9]. - The report highlights the importance of commercial insurance in providing a market-oriented, legal, and international payment environment for innovative drugs and devices, indicating a significant improvement in the payment environment for innovative products by 2025 [9]. - The report emphasizes the innovation capabilities within the industry, noting the return of high-end R&D talent and increased resource allocation towards innovation and internationalization, which is expected to lead to monetization in global high-end markets [9]. - The manufacturing advantages of the industry are highlighted, with China's complete industrial chain and engineer advantages expected to manifest across various pharmaceutical segments [9]. - The report discusses the rebalancing of supply and demand post-capital withdrawal, which is anticipated to enhance the industry's value [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical industry is undergoing significant changes due to macroeconomic influences, regulatory reforms, and evolving market dynamics [9]. Commercial Insurance - The development of commercial insurance is identified as a key policy variable for the pharmaceutical industry, expected to enhance the payment environment for innovative drugs and high-end medical services [9]. Innovation Capabilities - The report notes that the innovation ecosystem is becoming more robust, with increased investment in R&D and a focus on international markets, which is likely to yield positive results in the coming years [9]. Manufacturing Advantages - China's manufacturing capabilities are positioned to become a global center for cost-effective production, supported by a strong industrial chain and skilled workforce [9]. Supply and Demand Rebalancing - The report anticipates that the rebalancing of supply and demand will lead to a more favorable valuation of the industry, following a period of capital withdrawal [9].