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南旋控股:High yield play with stable growth ahead

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Nameson Holdings with a target price of HKD 1.01, indicating an upside potential of 24.7% from the current price of HKD 0.81 [1]. Core Insights - Nameson's 1HFY25 results were largely in line with expectations, with sales and adjusted net profit growing by 2.2% and 3.3% year-on-year, respectively, reaching HKD 2,726 million and HKD 299 million [1][6]. - The blended gross margin improved by 1.6 percentage points year-on-year to 19.9%, attributed to lower raw material prices and enhanced operational efficiency at the Vietnam plant [1][6]. - The company experienced a normalization in order volumes for whole garments, which temporarily affected total sales volume, while traditional knitwear and cashmere products provided volume support [1][6]. - Sales volume for Nameson reached 18 million pieces in 1HFY25, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, with cashmere sales volume increasing significantly by 74% year-on-year to 1.6 million pieces [1][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Nameson's 1HFY25 average selling price (ASP) remained stable year-on-year at approximately US18,withcashmeresalesenjoyingahigherASPofaroundUS18, with cashmere sales enjoying a higher ASP of around US40, while traditional knitwear maintained an ASP of US$13-14 [1][6]. - The company expects FY25E sales to decline by approximately 1% year-on-year, primarily due to lower whole garment sales volume, offset by a stable blended ASP due to a better product mix [1][6]. Market Dynamics - Sales in Europe and Southeast Asia outperformed, growing by 23.1% and 37.7% year-on-year, respectively, driven by favorable weather and clients' overseas expansion [1][6]. - Conversely, sales in Japan and China faced challenges, declining by 23% and 3.9% year-on-year, respectively, due to late winter and macroeconomic headwinds [1][6]. Operational Insights - Nameson manufactured 70% of its total sweaters in Vietnam during 1HFY25, with plans to continue expanding capacity in Central Vietnam [3]. - The company has ramped up its cashmere yarn production, achieving over 550 tons in 1HFY25, with a significant increase in revenue from its branded cashmere yarn, M.oro, which rose by 26.8% to approximately HKD 419 million [4][5]. Valuation and Outlook - Nameson is trading at an undemanding FY25E/26E PE of 4.4x/4.0x, which is approximately a 46% discount to peers' average [7]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low net gearing ratio of 14.3% in 1HFY25, allowing for a sustainable payout ratio of around 75% [8].