Investment Rating - The report maintains an "In-line with the market" investment rating for the electrical equipment industry [2][5]. Core Insights - The electrical equipment industry is driven by three main factors: investment in the power grid, intelligent upgrades in distribution networks, and opportunities for overseas expansion [2][5]. - The demand for distribution system upgrades is expected to boost industry prosperity, with significant growth in smart meter procurement [4]. - The export of electrical equipment is on the rise, with a notable increase in transformer exports, particularly to the U.S., which faces urgent replacement needs due to aging infrastructure [5]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of December 11, 2024, the CITIC electrical equipment index has increased by 9.91%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 17.79% [44]. - The electrical equipment sector ranks 22nd among 30 CITIC first-level industries in terms of performance [44]. Industry Valuation - The CITIC electrical equipment sector's PE (TTM) is 35.14 times, close to the median level over the past five years [50]. - The PB (LF) valuation stands at 2.81 times, also near the historical median [53]. Individual Stock Performance - As of December 11, 2024, 103 stocks in the electrical equipment sector have risen, while 74 have fallen, with a median increase of 5.23% [57]. - The top five performing stocks include Xuchang Intelligent (155.86%) and Yinen Electric (106.52%) [62]. Industry Fundamentals - The electrical equipment sector's revenue reached 651.73 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.01% [61]. - The sector's net profit for the same period was 41.84 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11.7% [66]. Power Transmission and Transformation Equipment - The demand for power transmission and transformation equipment is expected to grow due to increasing electricity consumption and the need for grid investment [76]. - In the first ten months of 2024, total electricity consumption reached 81,836 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.6% [76]. Distribution Equipment - The release of various policies in 2024 is anticipated to accelerate the construction of distribution networks, leading to increased demand for smart meters [4][27]. Overseas Expansion of Electrical Equipment - China's electrical equipment exports totaled $67.55 billion in the first ten months of 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 8.4% [5][30].
电气设备行业年度策略:电气设备行业三大驱动,电网投资景气、配网智能升级、出海机遇凸显
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-12-13 09:28