食品饮料行业报告:扩内需放在首要位置,关注政策重点提及方向
China Post Securities·2024-12-16 09:00

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [6]. Core Viewpoints - The macro policy is shifting towards a more accommodative stance, with an emphasis on expanding domestic demand as a top priority. The central economic work conference has reiterated the importance of fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate growth [18][19]. - Three investment themes have been identified: 1. Elderly consumption, benefiting companies like Yili and Mengniu in dairy, and health food companies like Tongrentang and Xianle Health [21]. 2. New channels and products, focusing on snack and pet food sectors, with recommendations for companies like Yanjinpuzi and Ganyuan Foods [22]. 3. Cyclical recovery and service consumption, with a focus on liquor companies such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, as well as food supply chain companies like Anjifood [23]. Summary by Sections 1. Macro Policy and Domestic Demand - The central government has prioritized expanding domestic demand, marking it as a key focus in the latest economic work conference. This is a shift from previous years where technology and modernization were emphasized [19]. - Specific measures include increasing pension benefits and promoting service consumption, particularly targeting middle and low-income groups [20]. 2. Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector index (801120.SL) increased by 2.01% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points. The current industry PE (TTM) stands at 21.42, showing a rising trend [27]. - All sub-sectors within the food and beverage industry saw gains, with the highest increases in soft drinks (+11.69%) and baked goods (+10.94%) [27]. 3. Key Company Announcements - Kweichow Moutai announced a cash dividend distribution totaling approximately 30 billion yuan [36]. - Eastroc Beverage plans to establish a joint venture in Indonesia with an investment of up to 200 million USD to expand its soft drink market [43]. - Yili Group is investing in a seed fund to support early-stage health food innovations, with a total commitment of 200 million yuan [49]. 4. Industry News - Kweichow Moutai is exploring digital transformation in collaboration with Huawei to enhance its operational efficiency [59]. - Japan's Yakult has decided to close its Shanghai production facility to optimize resource allocation [59]. 5. Industry Chain Data Tracking - Prices for key agricultural products as of December show wheat at 2411.2 yuan/ton (-18.16% YoY), corn at 2.16 yuan/kg (-18.80% YoY), and pork at 23.14 yuan/kg (+16.34% YoY) [62].

食品饮料行业报告:扩内需放在首要位置,关注政策重点提及方向 - Reportify