芯原股份：AIOT风起，芯片代工业务潜力大

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 65 CNY [1][5]. Core Insights - The company is recognized as a leading domestic IP enterprise in China, with its NPU IP utilized by over 70 clients across more than 100 AI chip models, indicating strong market penetration and growth potential in the AI sector [3][6]. - The company has experienced a revenue recovery in Q3 2024, achieving 7.2 billion CNY in revenue, a year-over-year increase of 23.6%, despite a net loss of 1.11 billion CNY for the quarter [6]. - The company plans to raise 1.8 billion CNY for projects related to AIGC and smart mobility, which is expected to enhance its capital base by 10% [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a current A-share price of 48.10 CNY and a market capitalization of 239.43 billion CNY [1]. - Major shareholders include Chip Origin Co., Ltd., holding 15.14% of shares [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.65 billion CNY, a year-over-year decline of 6.5%, and a net loss of 396 million CNY [6]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow to 2.37 billion CNY in 2024, with further increases to 3.06 billion CNY in 2025 and 3.75 billion CNY in 2026 [8]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in chip design services, benefiting from the anticipated rapid growth in the AI ASIC design service market [6]. - The company’s chip design and mass production services account for over 70% of its revenue, with a diverse client base including major tech firms like Meta, Google, and Alibaba [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a turnaround in profitability by 2025, with projected net profits of 40 million CNY and earnings per share (EPS) of 0.25 CNY [6][8]. - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 8 for 2025 and 6 for 2026, indicating potential for significant upside based on future earnings growth [6].