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11月金融数据点评:信贷持续拖累社融,化债落地加速M1改善
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji·2024-12-18 09:31

Group 1: Economic Indicators - CPI and PPI both declined, indicating that inflationary pressures are under control[1] - In November, social financing (社融) increased by 2.34 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 114.3 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.8%, unchanged from the previous month[2] - The new RMB loans in November amounted to 522.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 587.7 billion yuan, marking the lowest level since 2012[4] Group 2: Financial Market Trends - M1 growth rate in November was -3.7%, a significant narrowing of the decline by 2.4 percentage points from the previous month[5] - M2 growth rate was 7.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a divergence between M1 and M2 growth rates[5] - The net financing of government bonds in November was 1.31 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 160.1 billion yuan, serving as a crucial support for social financing[2] Group 3: Consumer and Corporate Financing - Short-term loans to households decreased by 37 billion yuan, the lowest level on record for this period, reflecting weakened consumer demand[4] - Corporate loans in November increased by 250 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 572.1 billion yuan, indicating persistent weakness in corporate financing demand[4] - The improvement in corporate bond financing, with a net financing amount of 242.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 109.8 billion yuan, provided additional support for social financing[2]