电力及公用事业行业点评报告:2025年新能源装机将保持高速增长,积极拥抱低估值和高分红的红利资产
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-12-19 00:38

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" with an expected increase of over 10% relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [3][11][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the new energy installed capacity will continue to grow rapidly in 2025, aligning with global energy transition trends and carbon neutrality goals. Traditional coal power will still play a crucial role as a backup energy source, while nuclear power is positioned for accelerated approval and construction, benefiting from technological advancements and improved safety [2][8]. - The report highlights the significant progress in the market-oriented reform of the electricity sector, with market transactions accounting for over 60% of total electricity traded since 2022, indicating a continuous upward trend [7][8]. - The construction of a new energy system is accelerating, with expectations that by the end of 2025, the combined installed capacity of wind and solar power will reach 1.55 billion kilowatts, contributing to a green and low-carbon transformation of the power system [6][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report outlines that by the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of wind and solar power in Henan Province reached 6,549 MW, accounting for 44.8% of the total installed capacity, which supports the province's transition to a greener energy structure [6]. - The national energy work conference has set the direction for the development of the electricity and energy sector in 2025, focusing on the integration of new energy systems and the construction of a new power system [3][8]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the marketization of electricity trading has shown significant results, with the proportion of market transactions increasing from 60.8% in 2022 to 62.2% in 2024 [7]. - The implementation of the Energy Law on January 1, 2025, will further enhance the market structure and regulatory framework for the energy sector, promoting deeper market-oriented reforms [7][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report advises investors to focus on high-dividend, low-valuation assets, particularly large hydropower and nuclear power companies, which are expected to maintain stable profitability and good growth prospects [8].

电力及公用事业行业点评报告:2025年新能源装机将保持高速增长,积极拥抱低估值和高分红的红利资产 - Reportify