食饮行业周报(2024年12月第3期):五粮液定调2025,关注微信小店送礼概念
ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2024-12-22 02:23

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Positive" [18] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on sectors with sustained industry prosperity or those expected to improve in 2025, highlighting investment opportunities driven by revenue growth or performance [6][29] - The report suggests that under the influence of consumption-boosting policies, domestic demand is likely to continue recovering, with a focus on performance and valuation recovery in the restaurant supply chain-related sectors [6][29] - The report identifies two main investment lines: one focusing on sectors with high prosperity and the other on recovery opportunities, recommending leading stocks as a priority [6][29] Summary by Sections Market Review - The report notes that from December 16 to December 20, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index decreased by 0.14%, while the food and beverage sector fell by 2.27%, with specific declines in frozen food (-9.14%) and non-dairy beverages (-3.48%) [17][56] Key Data Tracking - The report provides key price tracking data for major liquor brands, indicating slight price increases for Guizhou Moutai and stable prices for Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao [22][57] - The valuation levels for the food and beverage industry have adjusted, with the industry at 21.13 times, and specific segments like liquor and beer at 20.11 and 27.01 times, respectively [57] Important Company Announcements - Guizhou Moutai reported a total revenue of 123.12 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.91%, indicating confidence in achieving a 15% annual growth target [10] - Wuliangye has set 2024 as a year for enhancing marketing execution, focusing on production, innovation, marketing, management, and establishing benchmarks [11][33] Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the central government's efforts to boost consumption and expand domestic demand, which is expected to significantly benefit the food and beverage sector in 2025 [16][29] - The report discusses the proactive measures taken by liquor companies to manage supply and demand conflicts and inventory pressures, with a focus on sustainable growth and macro policy catalysts [16][29]