Market Overview - The market is experiencing wide fluctuations with strong expectations but weak reality, leading to a "strong expectation, weak reality" phase[1] - Policy-driven and theme-driven market movements are prominent, with high turnover in tech sectors[1] Sector Performance - Steel, building materials, machinery, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, household appliances, and utilities are showing upward trends[2] - Real estate and non-bank financial sectors are declining[2] Key Industry Data - 10-year government bond yield dropped to 1.7% week-over-week[3] - Beijing subway passenger volume decreased by 22.97% week-over-week to 5.2541 million trips[3] - Sea cucumber prices surged by 30.77% week-over-week to 170.0 yuan/kg[4] - CBOT wheat futures fell by 3.49% week-over-week to 533.0 cents/bushel[4] Future Sector Predictions - Auto parts, motorcycles, insurance, wind power equipment, glass fiber, photovoltaic equipment, logistics, passenger vehicles, power grid equipment, gaming, rail equipment, fisheries, batteries, animal health, and planting industries are expected to perform well in the next four weeks[5] Automotive Industry - Semi-steel tire operating rate decreased week-over-week to 79.06%[6] - Full-steel tire operating rate increased week-over-week to 62.12%[6] Power Equipment Industry - Lithium hexafluorophosphate price rose by 1.64% week-over-week to 62,000 yuan/ton[7] - Ternary material 5-series price fell by 1.93% week-over-week to 101,500 yuan/ton[7] Building Materials Industry - Nanhua Composite Index dropped by 2.29% week-over-week to 2,469.27 points[8] - Price index for grinding tools and abrasives increased by 0.38% week-over-week to 114.91 points[8] Risk Factors - Historical analysis is for reference only[9] - Market volatility may impact asset performance[9] - Quantitative analysis based on models cannot replace qualitative analysis of company fundamentals[9]
中观景气度数据库和定量模型应用：市场宽幅震荡，主题行情剧烈波动下机构较难参与，在明年春节归来基本面
Tianfeng Securities·2024-12-23 04:05