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市场分析:成长行业领涨,A股震荡整固
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-12-26 09:40

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the A-share market, indicating that the average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are at 14.40 times and 36.97 times respectively, which are at the median levels over the past three years, making it suitable for medium to long-term investment [21]. Core Views - The A-share market experienced a slight upward trend after initial declines, with key sectors such as communication equipment, semiconductors, electronic components, and automobiles performing well, while sectors like electricity, insurance, coal, and pharmaceutical commerce lagged [21][22]. - The total trading volume in the two markets was 12,865 billion, which is above the median of the daily average trading volume over the past three years [21]. - Recent policy signals from the Political Bureau meeting indicate a commitment to more proactive macroeconomic policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, boosting consumption, and implementing moderately loose monetary policies [21][22]. - The report anticipates that the market's focus will shift towards domestic macro policies and their impact on maintaining investor confidence and stabilizing expectations, with a strong emphasis on supporting technological innovation and industrial upgrades [21][22]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - The A-share market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,393.35 points, down 0.01%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10,603.10 points, down 0.64% [2][21]. - The ChiNext 50 Index increased by 0.33%, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.55% [2][21]. Sector Performance - The report highlights that over 70% of stocks in the two markets rose, with significant gains in sectors such as power equipment, communication devices, commercial retail, electronic components, and consumer electronics [14][21]. - Conversely, sectors like electricity, coal, pharmaceutical commerce, cement, and banking experienced declines [14][21]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends short-term investment opportunities in the automotive, communication equipment, semiconductor, and consumer electronics sectors [21][22]. - It emphasizes the need to closely monitor policy changes, capital flows, and external factors that may influence market dynamics [21][22].