Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 8.35, representing a potential upside of 73% from the current price of HKD 4.80 [4][20]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing temporary pressure on its performance due to the pharmaceutical industry environment, but it is rapidly advancing its innovative drug development [3][9]. - The company has built an international R&D team of over 2,000 people, focusing on oncology, neuropsychiatry, and cardiovascular treatments, with plans to allocate 20.8% of its revenue from established drugs to R&D [8][9]. - The company has over 60 key drugs in clinical or application stages, with 6 submitted for market approval and 24 products (30 indications) in registration clinical stages [8][9]. - The company plans to submit nearly 50 new products/new indications for market approval in the next five years, indicating strong growth potential [11][20]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, total revenue was RMB 22.686 billion, a decrease of 4.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in established drug revenue [10][19]. - Established drug revenue decreased by 3.5% to RMB 18.670 billion, while raw material product revenue fell by 5.2% to RMB 2.726 billion [10][19]. - Net profit decreased by 15.9% to RMB 3.778 billion, with R&D expenses increasing by 5.5% to RMB 3.880 billion, accounting for 20.8% of established drug revenue [10][19]. - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are RMB 29.600 billion, RMB 30.511 billion, and RMB 32.964 billion, respectively, with net profits of RMB 4.860 billion, RMB 5.005 billion, and RMB 5.471 billion [11][20].
石药集团：业绩短暂承压，创新药研发快速推进