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分红和退市新规即将实施,哪些行业有望受益
中航证券·2024-12-30 01:43

Group 1 - The report highlights that the new dividend and delisting rules will be implemented on January 1, 2025, with the 2024 annual report being the first applicable report [39][43] - It is expected that the short-term market style will continue to tilt towards dividend and large-cap styles under the guidance of policies aimed at encouraging dividends and enhancing dividend intensity [18][39] - The report indicates that industries likely to accelerate dividend increases include urban commercial banks II, rural commercial banks II, large state-owned banks II, oil service engineering, and passenger vehicles [43][44] Group 2 - The report notes that the central enterprises have a higher average dividend yield compared to the market average, with the average dividend yield of central enterprises being 1.33% as of December 27, 2024 [47] - The report emphasizes that the new "National Nine Articles" will strengthen the regulation of cash dividends for listed companies, which may lead to an increase in dividend rates for companies with dividend capability but low actual dividend rates [39][43] - The report suggests that the market may switch to a dividend and large-cap focus due to the new delisting rules and the concentration of funds in response to the risks faced by underperforming stocks [39][43] Group 3 - The report discusses the economic stimulus policies and their delayed effects on the real sector, indicating that the inventory cycle is expected to stabilize and rebound under a combination of "moderately loose" monetary policy and more proactive fiscal policies [35][39] - It highlights that the central economic work conference reiterated the need for a "moderately loose" monetary policy, with expectations for interest rate cuts and a decline in government bond yields, which opens up space for dividend styles [8][11] - The report mentions that the average dividend yield of A-shares is 1.25%, with central enterprises having a higher representation in high-dividend indices, indicating a favorable environment for dividend-paying stocks [47][25]