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康哲药业:创新药进一步丰富,即将放量再造新康哲
00867CMS(00867) 国元国际控股·2024-12-31 05:53

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 10.38, indicating a potential upside of 38.78% from the current price of HKD 7.48 [3][27][47]. Core Insights - The company has a robust pipeline of innovative drugs, with four new drugs recently included in the national medical insurance directory, expected to contribute approximately RMB 400-500 million in revenue in 2024 [2][6][39]. - The company is expanding its market presence in Southeast Asia, leveraging local talent and establishing a management center in Singapore to cater to the growing demand for pharmaceuticals in the region [44][46]. - The company has signed an exclusive commercialization agreement for a new drug, ABP-671, aimed at treating gout and hyperuricemia, which is currently undergoing clinical trials [26][37]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 42.88 billion in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 22.6%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.9% [30]. - The net profit for the same period was RMB 9.03 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 52.8%, but a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 92.8% [30]. - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at RMB 79.25 billion, RMB 89.49 billion, and RMB 108.85 billion, respectively, with EPS expected to rise from RMB 0.71 in 2024 to RMB 1.01 in 2026 [13][38]. Product Pipeline - The company has a diverse pipeline with 30 innovative drugs, including CMS-D005, which has shown promising preclinical results for weight loss and safety [2][41]. - The company is also advancing the development of Lurconidine cream for vitiligo, with a significant market potential given the large patient population in China and Southeast Asia [9][10]. - The innovative drugs recently launched include a nasal spray for epilepsy, a monoclonal antibody for psoriasis, and a methotrexate injection for autoimmune diseases, showcasing the company's strong R&D capabilities [39][40].