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市场分析:防御行业走强 A股震荡整固
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-12-31 12:06

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations and consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3413 points, leading to a decline in the index [4][23] - The performance of various sectors varied, with industries such as liquor, gas, jewelry, and shipping ports showing positive performance, while semiconductor, software development, communication equipment, and securities sectors lagged [4][23] - The average price-to-earnings ratio for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index is currently at 14.46 times and 37.23 times respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [23] Group 2 - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 13,588 billion, which is above the median of the past three years [23] - Recent policy signals from the Political Bureau meeting suggest a more proactive macroeconomic policy aimed at stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, boosting consumption, and implementing more aggressive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [23] - The focus of market dynamics is expected to shift towards domestic macro policies and their impact on market confidence and expectations, with an emphasis on supporting technological innovation and industrial upgrades [23] Group 3 - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in the liquor, gas, coal, and shipping port sectors [23] - The report indicates that over 90% of stocks in the two markets declined, with only the gas and liquor industries showing slight increases, while semiconductor and securities sectors saw significant outflows of funds [17][23] - The report highlights the need to closely monitor economic data recovery and external factors affecting the market [23]