Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong recommendation for several companies, including Kingsoft (金山办公), Foxit Software (福昕软件), Zhongke Shuguang (中科曙光), and others, indicating a positive outlook for the computer industry in 2025 [2][30]. Core Insights - The investment strategy focuses on three main lines: the leaders in various segments of the domestic IT innovation (信创) ecosystem, companies with urgent self-controllable demands, and key participants in the Huawei supply chain [1][2]. - The AIGC (Artificial Intelligence Generated Content) industry is experiencing rapid growth, with IDC predicting a global AI industry scale of $623.3 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.5% [1][43]. - The report highlights structural opportunities in new productivity sectors, including intelligent driving, quantum computing, low-altitude economy, vehicle-road cloud integration, and data element markets [1][2][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Review - The computer sector's performance has been roughly in line with the CSI 300 index, with a significant rebound since September 2024 [23][27]. - The report notes that large-cap companies have shown better performance, with a 71.43% increase in companies with a market cap over 50 billion [39] [12]. Industry Outlook - The report anticipates improvements in market liquidity and risk appetite, with a focus on IT innovation and AI applications as key investment themes [18][27]. - It emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis, cost-effectiveness, and attractiveness in assessing the sustainability of market trends [18][14]. Investment Strategy - The report identifies key companies in the IT innovation sector, such as China Software (中国软件), Taiji (太极股份), and others, as potential investment targets [1][2]. - It also highlights the rapid development of intelligent driving technologies, with expectations for significant market growth by 2025 [47][52]. Other New Productivity Sectors - The intelligent driving sector is projected to see a penetration rate of 16% for L2+ driving functions by 2025, with a market size of 39.5 billion yuan [47]. - Quantum computing is still in its early stages, with significant potential for future applications [53]. - The low-altitude economy is expected to have high development certainty, with infrastructure construction leading the way [1][18].
计算机行业2025年投资展望:信创、AI应用构投资主线,新质生产力领域具结构机会
东兴证券·2024-12-31 12:37