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信立泰:首次覆盖:医保谈判顺利,关注JK07数据读出
002294Salubris(002294) 海通国际·2025-01-01 06:02

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating, projecting a target price of 46.27 RMB based on a 2024 PE of 83x [9][30]. Core Insights - The company is expected to enter a high growth phase for new products, with successful innovation transitions and centralized procurement risks nearly cleared. Innovative drug sales are projected to exceed 1.5 billion RMB in 2024, accounting for nearly 50% of total drug revenue [8][28]. - Two innovative drugs, Rulitan (Aliskiren Amlodipine Tablets) and Xinlitin (Benzoic Acid Faglitin Tablets), have successfully passed the first round of negotiations for inclusion in the 2024 medical insurance catalog, indicating strong market potential [2][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 40.38 billion RMB, 44.08 billion RMB, and 56.94 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.0%, 9.1%, and 29.2%. Net profit is expected to be 6.20 billion RMB, 6.45 billion RMB, and 8.32 billion RMB for the same years [9][30][26]. Product Pipeline - The company is advancing its product pipeline with 6-7 innovative drugs expected to launch between 2024 and 2026, contributing to sustained growth in the innovative drug segment [8][28]. Clinical Development - JK07, an NRG1 fusion antibody, is anticipated to show promising results in chronic heart failure treatment, with global Phase II trials initiated in early 2024 and data expected soon [29][39].