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商贸零售行业周报:看好顺应情绪价值消费趋势的线下零售企业
甬兴证券·2025-01-02 01:39

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [28][36]. Core Insights - The retail sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with a notable decline in the index by 2.13% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.48 percentage points [29][36]. - The report highlights a recovery in offline sales driven by policies aimed at boosting consumption, suggesting a gradual improvement in consumer confidence [29][46]. - Key investment themes include the growth of physical retail spaces that cater to emotional value consumption and the ongoing expansion of e-commerce platforms [30][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The retail sector ranked 22nd among 30 sectors in the CITIC index this week, with significant gains in sub-sectors like supermarkets and medical beauty [19][39]. - Year-to-date, the retail sector has increased by 14.57%, still lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 1.46 percentage points [36]. 2. Industry Data Tracking - In November, the total retail sales reached 4.38 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.0% [46]. - The online retail penetration rate remains high, with online sales accounting for 26.7% of total retail sales [47]. 3. Industry Dynamics and Major Events - Notable developments include the opening of new stores by major players like Walmart and Hema, indicating aggressive expansion strategies [58][60]. - The report mentions the collaboration between Ai Ying Shi and Bandai to create a Gundam base in Suzhou, which is expected to attract younger consumers [8]. 4. Company Performance - The report identifies top-performing stocks in the retail sector, with Dongbai Group and Zhongbai Group showing significant gains of 32.87% and 28.38% respectively [23][39]. - Conversely, companies like Wenfeng and Dongfang Group faced substantial declines, with losses of 19.89% and 19.24% respectively [43][39].