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12月PMI与11月企业利润分析:工业企业资产负债表再现扩张
甬兴证券·2025-01-02 01:40

Group 1: Industrial Enterprises Performance - Industrial enterprises' cumulative operating income from January to November decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, slightly down from the previous value of 1.9%[4] - The total profit of industrial enterprises for the same period showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 4.7%, worsening from the previous decline of 4.3%[4] - In November, the profit of industrial enterprises decreased by 7.3% year-on-year, an improvement from the previous month's decline of 10.0%[4] Group 2: Asset and Liability Trends - From January to November, the total assets of industrial enterprises increased by 4.7% year-on-year, up from 4.6% previously, indicating a reversal of the previous downward trend[4] - The total liabilities of industrial enterprises also saw a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, compared to 4.5% previously, suggesting a rebound in the balance sheet[4] Group 3: PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI for December was reported at 50.1%, slightly down from 50.3% in November, remaining above the critical threshold for three consecutive months[4] - The construction PMI showed a significant recovery, rising to 53.2% from 49.7% in the previous month[4] - The service sector PMI increased to 52.0%, up from 50.1%, indicating further improvement in economic activity[4] Group 4: Inventory and Price Indices - The production index in the manufacturing PMI for December was 52.1%, down from 52.4% in November, while the purchasing quantity index rose to 51.5% from 51.0%[5] - The raw material inventory index remained below the critical value at 48.3%, slightly up from 48.2%, and the finished goods inventory index was at 47.9%, up from 47.4%[5] - The purchasing price index in December was 48.2%, down from 49.8%, and the factory price index was 46.7%, down from 47.7%, indicating downward pressure on prices[18]