GREE(000651) 群益证券·2025-01-03 02:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][14]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the continuation of national subsidy policies for home appliances, particularly air conditioners, which have shown significant sales growth in recent months [5][14]. - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, with a proposed cash dividend of 55.2 billion RMB, translating to a dividend yield of approximately 2.2% based on the previous closing price [10][20]. - Future projections indicate a steady increase in net profit, with estimates of 323.4 billion RMB, 357.7 billion RMB, and 387.0 billion RMB for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [14]. Product Portfolio - The company's product mix is heavily weighted towards air conditioning, which accounts for 88% of its revenue, while green energy and home appliances each contribute 3% [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 141.4 billion RMB for the first half of 2024, with a significant portion available for distribution as dividends [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming years are 5.8 RMB, 6.4 RMB, and 6.9 RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 8, 7, and 7 [14]. Market Position - The company's stock price has shown a notable increase of 52.6% over the past year, reflecting strong market performance [18]. - The company has a market capitalization of approximately 255.6 billion RMB, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.05 [18].