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传媒行业2025年投资策略:AI应用百花齐放,关注储备游戏上线和票房复苏
Southwest Securities·2025-01-08 13:24

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the companies mentioned, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the upcoming years [84]. Core Insights - The report highlights three main areas of focus for 2025: gaming, film, and AI applications, suggesting that these sectors are poised for growth [4]. - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from a significant increase in game approvals, with 1,416 game licenses issued in 2024, a 32% increase from the previous year, indicating a robust supply side [30]. - The film industry is anticipated to recover in 2025, driven by a strong lineup of films scheduled for release during the Spring Festival, which could revitalize box office performance [51]. - AI applications are projected to accelerate in 2025, with major companies like ByteDance and Tencent leading the charge in developing AI ecosystems [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Media Industry 2024 Market Performance Review - The media industry index rose by 2.23% in 2024, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index by 12.45 percentage points [10]. - The advertising sector saw the highest growth at 12.34%, while the broadcasting sector experienced a decline of approximately 7.56% [10][12]. 2. Gaming Sector - The global gaming market is projected to reach $187.7 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [26]. - The Chinese gaming market is expected to achieve a record revenue of 325.78 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 7.53% [26]. - The issuance of game licenses in 2024 is expected to enhance market vitality, with a notable increase in both domestic and imported game approvals [30]. 3. Film Sector - The total box office revenue for 2024 is projected to be 42.502 billion yuan, a decline of 22.6% compared to the previous year, marking one of the lowest performances since 2015 [41]. - The lack of high-quality films is identified as a key reason for the poor box office performance in 2024, with no films surpassing 4 billion yuan in revenue [45]. - The report anticipates a recovery in 2025, with a promising lineup of films expected to drive audience engagement and box office returns [51]. 4. AI Applications Sector - The report emphasizes the rapid development of AI applications in 2025, particularly by major players like Tencent and ByteDance, focusing on user engagement and product iteration [4][56]. - Tencent's "Hunyuan" model and ByteDance's "Doubao" model are highlighted as leading innovations in the AI space, with significant advancements in capabilities and applications [56][64]. 5. Key Recommended Companies - Companies such as Kehua Network and Shenzhou Taiyue are recommended based on their strong growth prospects and innovative strategies in the gaming sector [73][76]. - Xinhua Wenhui is noted for its tax advantages and stable operational performance, making it a favorable investment choice [81].