Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for long-term growth [6][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned well within the sports nutrition industry, which is expected to experience significant growth. The report highlights the company's comprehensive advantages and forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.5% for its core sports nutrition products from 2020 to 2023, with a projected revenue of 1.336 billion yuan in 2025 [6][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2001, has evolved from focusing on competitive sports to entering the mass market and military supply sectors. It has developed four main business segments, including sports nutrition products, health nutrition products, military supply, and digital sports technology services [6][22]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 988 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.1%. By 2026, the revenue is expected to reach 1.783 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 33.4% from 2024 to 2026. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 113 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 32.6% [5][6]. Market Analysis - The sports nutrition market in China reached a size of 17.2 billion USD by the end of 2023, with a penetration rate of 26.5% among the domestic fitness population, significantly lower than in mature markets like Europe and the USA. This indicates substantial room for growth as consumer awareness and demand for health and fitness products increase [6][7]. Business Segments - The company’s primary business segment, sports nutrition products, is experiencing rapid growth, with a CAGR of 28.5% from 2020 to 2023. The report emphasizes the potential for further expansion into the mass market and the importance of product innovation to meet diverse consumer needs [6][29]. Investment Analysis - The report predicts that the company will achieve net profits of 0.85 billion yuan, 1.13 billion yuan, and 1.44 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 23, 17, and 13, respectively. The target market capitalization for 2025 is set at 2.2 billion yuan, representing a potential upside of 12% from the current share price [6][7].
康比特：运动营养行业长坡厚雪，公司综合优势突出，看好长期成长