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金能科技:公司动态研究报告:Q3单季度扭亏为盈,青岛基地打开成长空间

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company turned profitable in Q3 2024, with a total revenue of 52.64 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 42.32% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.44% [5]. - The new production capacity from the Qingdao Phase II project significantly contributed to revenue growth, while a reduction in non-recurring losses helped improve net profit [5][6]. - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth in the coming years, with projected net profits of 0.23 billion yuan in 2024, 1.83 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.36 billion yuan in 2026 [8]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 121.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.33%, and a net profit of -0.32 billion yuan [5]. - The Q3 2024 production of olefins reached 459,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 123.19%, while sales reached 448,000 tons, up 127.34% year-on-year [6]. - The average selling price of olefin products was 6,651 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.03% [6]. Production Capacity and Projects - The Qingdao Phase I project, completed in 2021, has a capacity of 900,000 tons/year for propane dehydrogenation and 450,000 tons/year for high-performance polypropylene [7]. - The Qingdao Phase II project, which commenced full production in 2024, includes 900,000 tons/year of PDH and two 450,000 tons/year high-performance polypropylene units, enhancing the company's market position in the chemical sector [7]. - The total production capacity post-Qingdao base expansion includes 1.8 million tons/year of propane dehydrogenation and 1.35 million tons/year of polypropylene [7].