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药明生物:业务关键要素多维度发力,2025增长前景可期
02269WUXI BIO(02269) 华兴证券·2025-01-16 07:04

Investment Rating - The report assigns a Buy rating to WuXi Biologics (2269 HK) with a target price of HK26.12,representinga4826.12, representing a 48% upside from the current price of HK17.60 [1] - The DCF (WACC: 9.9%) target price of HK26.12correspondstoa2025P/Eratioof26x[5]CoreViewsWuXiBiologicsdemonstratesstrongcompetitivenessinthehighendmarket,with151newprojectssignedin2024,overhalffromtheUS,including13PhaseIIIandcommercializationprojects[3]Thecompanystechnicalplatformsareleading,with8projectsgeneratingover26.12 corresponds to a 2025 P/E ratio of 26x [5] Core Views - WuXi Biologics demonstrates strong competitiveness in the high-end market, with 151 new projects signed in 2024, over half from the US, including 13 Phase III and commercialization projects [3] - The company's technical platforms are leading, with 8 projects generating over 200 million annually, 10 projects over 100million,and8projectsover100 million, and 8 projects over 50 million [4] - WuXi Biologics has a significant global presence, with multiple centers and bases in China, the US, and Europe, capturing 70% market share in CDMO services for Chinese innovative drug overseas projects in 2024 [4] - The company expects accelerated revenue growth in 2025, driven by new project signings in research services (R), shortened delivery times in development (D), and a substantial number of PPQ projects in commercial manufacturing (M) [4] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 15,269 million in 2022 to RMB 23,611 million in 2026, with a CAGR of 12% [6] - Gross profit is expected to increase from RMB 6,724 million in 2022 to RMB 9,336 million in 2026 [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from RMB 4,420 million in 2022 to RMB 4,188 million in 2026, with a CAGR of 7% [6] - EPS is estimated to grow from RMB 1.01 in 2022 to RMB 0.96 in 2026 [6] Operational Highlights - WuXi Biologics completed 16 PPQ projects in 2024, with a success rate exceeding 98%, and expects to complete 24 PPQ projects in 2025 [3] - The company has significantly reduced project timelines, with monoclonal antibody projects in North America taking only 9 months from DNA to IND, and autoimmune projects delivered in 6 months, well ahead of industry standards [3] - The company's digital transformation and geopolitical dynamics are expected to further enhance operational efficiency [4]