CRM(688396)2025-01-17 02:53Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the company, Huazhu Microelectronics [2][10][25]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see better-than-expected performance in Q4 2024, driven by demand from consumer electronics [2]. - A new 12-inch wafer fab is set to come online, which is anticipated to boost revenue growth [2]. - Despite an industry-wide oversupply in power semiconductor products, improvements in product mix may stabilize profit margins [2]. - Revenue and profit growth rates for 2024-2026 are projected at 10% and 9% respectively [2]. - The target price for the company is set at 38.00 CNY, based on a 26x forward P/E ratio, reflecting industry challenges [10][26]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts - Revenue for FY2024 is estimated at 10,336 million CNY, with a growth rate of 4.4% [4][14]. - For FY2025, revenue is projected at 11,382 million CNY, with a growth rate of 10.1% [4][14]. - Adjusted net profit for FY2024 is expected to be 1,433 million CNY, with a net profit margin of 14.9% [29]. Market Dynamics - The company is transitioning towards becoming a more integrated semiconductor manufacturer, with plans to double revenue from its new high-end mask production facility [7]. - The competitive landscape in the power semiconductor sector is intensifying, leading to pricing pressures [7][10]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that the company's valuation is at the lower end of historical ranges, with a target price that aligns with industry averages [10][26]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be around 20.6% for FY2025 [29]. Stock Performance - The stock has underperformed the A-share semiconductor index by 26% over the past year, reflecting market concerns about pricing competition [7][10].