SBT(688392)2025-01-17 02:53Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 12-month target price of Rmb 41.00, while the current stock price is Rmb 37.80 [2]. Core Insights - The company expects a revenue growth of approximately 10% year-on-year for 2024, with traditional lithium battery equipment underperforming due to demand-side issues, contributing around Rmb 200 million in revenue [5]. - For 2025, the company projects a revenue growth of 20% year-on-year, driven by a 20%-30% increase in lithium battery equipment revenue and a 50% increase in consumables [5]. - The company anticipates the landing of approximately 10GWh project orders in 2025, with a projected order value of Rmb 300-400 million per GWh [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from Rmb 525 million in 2023 to Rmb 1.871 billion by 2028, with a significant increase in net profit from Rmb 66 million in 2023 to Rmb 622 million in 2028 [4]. - The company expects an improvement in gross margin in 2025, primarily driven by a better revenue mix [5]. Market Position - The company has been steadily increasing its market share in the lithium battery sector, despite facing challenges in traditional equipment sales [5]. - Consumables are expected to contribute Rmb 1.5 billion in revenue, reflecting a 50% year-on-year growth [5]. Valuation Metrics - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is estimated at 32.7x, decreasing to 7.1x by 2028, indicating a potential for significant valuation improvement [4]. - The company’s market capitalization is currently Rmb 4.43 billion (approximately US$0.60 billion) [2]. Analyst Insights - Analysts have rated the industry structure as stable, with a score of 3 out of 5, indicating no significant changes expected in the regulatory environment [11]. - The company is viewed as having positive catalysts in the near term, with expected project orders and revenue growth [11].