证券研究报告 | 行业深度报告 2025 年 12 月 16 日 储能爆发+固态加速，看好锂电设备开启新一轮景气周期 锂电设备 2026 年度策略报告 中游制造/机械 2025 年，传统锂电扩产&招标恢复，同时储能爆发带来需求持续性，锂电设备 公司基本面触底回升。展望 2026 年，随着设备和材料逐步突破，固态电池即将 迎来商业化奇点，中试线招标、装车调试、量产线招标等后续催化不断，看好 设备端投资机遇。 q 2025 年回顾：传统锂电扩产&招标恢复，锂电设备板块景气复苏。 q 投资建议：固态产业化拐点渐行渐近，看好新技术打开设备百亿市场空间， 建议关注"卖铲人"逻辑。从竞争力延续角度，建议关注布局整线设备的锂 电设备龙头【先导智能】【赢合科技】【利元亨】【杭可科技】等；布局前 道干法电极设备【纳科诺尔】【宏工科技】【曼恩斯特】【先惠技术】【华 亚智能】；卡位核心环节等静压设备【利通科技】【科新机电】【荣旗股份】， ALD 设备【微导纳米】等；平台型激光设备、超声设备公司【海目星】【联 赢激光】【德龙激光】【骄成超声】等。 q 风险提示：下游电池厂扩产不及预期、固态电池等新技术产业进展不及预期、 竞争格局恶化 ...

Core Insights - The mechanical industry is showing signs of recovery after three years of stagnation, with nominal GDP growth beginning to rise since Q4 2024, positively impacting the mechanical sector [17] - Domestic demand is weak while external demand is strong, particularly in the engineering machinery sector, where exports are gradually increasing due to improvements in the European and American markets [17][19] - The investment landscape is shifting towards overseas expansion and new industries, with a focus on automation and sectors supported by government subsidies [17][19] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is experiencing a dual trend of weak domestic demand and strong external demand, with engineering machinery showing signs of recovery but still facing a fragile foundation [17] - Domestic investment in real estate continues to decline, with a 14.7% year-on-year drop in real estate development investment from January to October 2025, while infrastructure investment growth has also slowed significantly [19][23] - The overall investment environment is expected to stabilize as the gap between domestic and foreign demand narrows, with structural opportunities in infrastructure projects like water conservancy and high-standard farmland construction [23] 2026 Domestic Outlook - The investment gap is expected to narrow, with infrastructure investment declining from high levels and real estate investment under pressure, leading to a focus on structural opportunities [19][23] - Manufacturing investment is crucial, with the core focus on PPI and inventory levels, as domestic manufacturing orders remain sluggish [26][28] - The expectation is that PPI will improve in 2026, driven by factors such as reduced internal competition and improved domestic demand [28] 2026 Overseas Outlook - The downward trend in interest rates is a significant macro narrative, with the U.S. and Europe entering a phase of fiscal expansion, which is expected to benefit Chinese manufacturing [29][38] - The global inventory levels are at historical lows, which could lead to a new investment cycle as demand recovers [35] - The second wave of globalization for Chinese manufacturing is anticipated, driven by fiscal expansion in the U.S. and Europe, and a recovery in industrial product demand [38][40] Stock Selection Strategy - The stock selection strategy for 2026 focuses on two main themes: benefiting from overseas expansion and new industries, particularly in sectors like engineering machinery and specialized equipment [44] - Key sectors include engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and high-tech equipment, with a focus on companies that are expected to maintain stable performance and low valuations [44] - Emerging industries such as AI equipment, lithium battery production, and semiconductor manufacturing are highlighted as areas of significant opportunity [44][45] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and China Shipbuilding, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [7] - Companies in the AI and semiconductor sectors, such as Longchuan Technology and Zhongwei Company, are also recommended due to their growth potential [7] - Future-oriented assets like humanoid robots and controllable nuclear fusion are noted as areas to watch for significant industry changes [7][45]

证券之星消息，12月12日电池板块较上一交易日上涨0.39%，锦富技术领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3889.35，上涨0.41%。深证成指报收于13258.33，上涨0.84%。电池板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300128 | 锦富技术 | 7.72 | 10.13% | 132.74万 | | 10.15 Z | | 603031 | 安孚科技 | 44.19 | 10.01% | 14.20万 | | 6.10亿 | | 688392 | 骄成超声 | 113.56 | 7.89% | 2.41万 | | 2.64亿 | | 618889 | 天能股份 | 33.57 | 4.91% | 6.70万 | | 2.22亿 | | 300409 | 道氏技术 | 22.26 | 3.29% | 39.48万 | | 8.68 Z | | 300648 | 星云股份 | 51.91 | 3.26% | 7.07万 | | 3.62亿 | | ...

投资要点： 以下为研究报告摘要： 山西证券近日发布AI设备系列研究报告：AI时代海量数据的预处理，庞大模型参数的加载等带来更高 带宽、更高密度内存的需求。一台AI服务器对DRAM（内存）的需求是普通服务器的8倍，对NAND （闪存）的需求高达3倍，增加了对HBM和DDR5等高性能、高密度存储产品的需求。 超声波、X光等无损检测方式为先进封装保驾护航。存储芯片的3D化是当前半导体行业最核心、最确定 的技术趋势之一。它彻底改变了传统平面微缩的路径，是延续摩尔定律、提升存储性能与容量的关键手 段。传统2DNAND依靠微缩制程提升密度，但制程进入15nm以下后，晶体管间干扰加剧，可靠性骤 降，微缩难以为继。3DNAND通过将存储单元垂直堆叠，在不追求极小制程的情况下，通过增加层数 来大幅提升密度和容量；HBM将多个DRAM芯片通过硅通孔（TSV）和微凸块技术垂直堆叠在一起， 并与GPU/CPU等逻辑芯片通过中介层并列封装（2.5D封装），随着堆叠层数的增加，内存带宽也呈指 数级增长。3D堆叠工艺发展背景下良率的稳定性极为重要，芯片之间的界面、芯片内部的连接点（如 硅通孔TSV、微凸点）完全被遮挡，无法被直接识别。以超 ...

证券研究报告 聚四海星火，淬国之重器——全面为国产算力生产配套 -2026年机械行业年度投资策略 西部证券研发中心 2025年12月8日 张恒晅 | 分析师 S0800525020001 zhanghengxuan@research.xbmail.com.cn 核心结论 AI驱动全球半导体大周期，中国大陆半导体产业同样受惠于此，叠加政策引导，国内集成电路有望实现全产 业链自主可控。 AI发展方兴未艾，IDC预计全球生成式AI市场五年复合增长率或达56.3%，而芯片是AI产业链的核心上游环 节之一，SEMI预测AI驱动下2030年全球半导体市场规模将突破1万亿美元，其中，服务器、数据中心和存储 领域的市场规模复合增速达到18%，领先下游其他领域。而半导体设备作为芯片产业链上游同步受益，LAM 预计未来5年全球数据中心累计2.5万亿美元的资本开支将催生2000亿美元的半导体设备需求。 国内AI产业链投资同样旺盛，同时，算力、存储芯片仍然面临较高的海外依赖度，进口受限叠加国内政策引 导，国内芯片产业链有望实现从上游设备到下游设计环节的全链条自主可控。 先进逻辑方面，国产算力突破，带动国内先进逻辑代工需求。与非网指出 ...

Group 1 - The fourth quarter is a critical period for private equity funds to realize performance and capture investment opportunities for the coming year, with research becoming a primary method for exploring new opportunities [1] - As of December 4, a total of 2,280 private equity institutions conducted 13,000 research sessions in the fourth quarter, with sectors like electronic components, medical devices, and integrated circuits being the most popular [1] - Private equity firms are optimistic about the A-share market in 2026 and are actively adjusting their portfolios through research to ensure more rational asset allocation and maximize product returns [2][3] Group 2 - Leading private equity firms are actively conducting research, with several top firms ranking high in the number of sessions, including Guangdong Zhengyuan, Hongyun, and Shanghai Gao Yi, among others [2] - The active research by private equity firms signals a positive outlook on the A-share market and a focus on understanding industry developments and verifying company operations to achieve higher returns [2] - The demand for deep research and precise stock selection is increasing as the market shifts towards performance realization, particularly in the technology sector [3] Group 3 - Technology stocks, particularly in sectors like electronic components, medical devices, and integrated circuits, are favored by private equity firms, with companies like Luxshare Precision and Aibo Medical being researched over 100 times [3][4] - The electronic components sector has seen strong upward momentum this year, benefiting from multiple favorable factors such as AI hardware, semiconductor domestic substitution, and automotive electronics [4] - The focus on sectors with growth potential and profit certainty is expected to help private equity funds achieve excess returns, aligning with their criteria for asset selection [4]

Core Insights - The battery sector experienced a rise of 1.11% on the previous trading day, with Wanrun New Energy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] Battery Sector Performance - Wanrun New Energy (688275) saw a significant increase of 16.88%, closing at 91.55, with a trading volume of 159,900 shares and a transaction value of 1.412 billion yuan [1] - Hunan Youneng (301358) rose by 11.01% to close at 76.51, with a trading volume of 349,700 shares and a transaction value of 2.589 billion yuan [1] - Fengyuan Co., Ltd. (002805) increased by 10.01%, closing at 20.34, with a trading volume of 364,900 shares and a transaction value of 709 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Binhai Energy (000695) up 10.00%, Honggong Technology (301662) up 8.81%, and Jiao Cheng Ultrasonic (688392) up 7.66% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The battery sector saw a net inflow of 1.23 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.441 billion yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a strong interest from institutional investors despite the outflow from retail investors [2]

Group 1 - Recent significant price increases in battery electrolyte, with 6F reaching 165,000 yuan, VC at 170,000 yuan/ton, and EC at 5,900 yuan/ton, leading to active performance of related companies like Wanrun New Energy [1] - Current electrolyte "three heroes" are experiencing continuous price increase catalysts, with 6F prices expected to exceed profit expectations in the future, and it remains the most critical segment by 2026 [2] - VC additive production recovery by Shandong Genyuan is limited, with a monthly output of only 2,000 tons, and industry inventory is at its lowest this year, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [2] - EC solvent prices have risen by 25% this month, with factory inventory at its lowest level this year, allowing for upward price movement in the market [2] Group 2 - As of November 28, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy Index (000692) rose by 1.20%, with component stocks like Wanrun New Energy up by 12.88% and Micro导纳米 up by 11.15% [3] - The Sci-Tech Innovation New Energy ETF (588830) increased by 0.96%, with the latest price at 1.48 yuan [3] Group 3 - Related products include Sci-Tech Innovation New Energy ETF (588830), ChiNext New Energy ETF (159261), and Photovoltaic ETF Fund (159863) [4] - Related stocks include companies such as Aters (688472), Trina Solar (688599), Jinko Solar (688223), Daqo New Energy (688303), and others [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jiao Cheng Ultrasonic has seen a stock price increase of 5.08%, reaching 101.40 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 11.735 billion CNY [1] - Jiao Cheng Ultrasonic, established on February 13, 2007, specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of ultrasonic welding and cutting equipment, as well as providing automation solutions for the new energy battery manufacturing sector [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: 31.42% from parts, 25.86% from ultrasonic equipment for new energy batteries, 18.51% from services and others, 13.92% from ultrasonic equipment for wire harness connectors, 8.03% from semiconductor ultrasonic equipment, 2.09% from non-metal ultrasonic equipment, and 0.18% from other supplementary sources [1] Group 2 - Huatai Baoxing Fund has a significant holding in Jiao Cheng Ultrasonic, with its Huatai Baoxing Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund A (021792) holding 20,000 shares, accounting for 5.66% of the fund's net value, making it the eighth largest holding [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 42.68%, ranking 1161 out of 8127 in its category, and a one-year return of 38.64%, ranking 1353 out of 8059 [2] - The fund manager, Shang Shuo Hui, has been in position for 8 years and 252 days, with the fund's total asset size at 1.006 billion CNY and a best return of 129.42% during his tenure [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent research conducted by QuanGuo Fund on the listed company JiaoCheng Ultrasonic, highlighting the fund's performance and the company's competitive advantages in the ultrasonic technology sector. Group 1: Fund Performance - QuanGuo Fund was established on February 8, 2022, and currently manages assets totaling 23.787 billion yuan across six funds with five fund managers [1] - The best-performing fund in the past year is QuanGuo XuYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A (016709), achieving a return of 31.08% [1] - Other notable fund performances include: - QuanGuo XuYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed C (30.56%) - QuanGuo Consumer Opportunity Mixed Initiation A (25.79%) - QuanGuo SiYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A (24.23%) - QuanGuo JiaYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A (20.47%) [1] Group 2: Company Product Applications - The company’s ultrasonic technology encompasses both power ultrasound and detection ultrasound, with applications in new energy batteries, wiring connectors, and semiconductors [1] - The ultrasonic equipment varies significantly in frequency, power, and precision, indicating a wide range of technical challenges [1] Group 3: R&D Advantages - The company possesses the capability to independently produce core components of ultrasonic systems, giving it a competitive edge in technology innovation and talent resources [2] - Close collaboration with well-known clients allows the company to anticipate market demands and focus on developing new technologies and products [2] Group 4: Semiconductor Sector Competition - The company offers a full range of ultrasonic solutions, including ultrasonic terminal welding machines and ultrasonic scanning microscopes, and has established partnerships with major enterprises [3] - The domestic market for core ultrasonic equipment in semiconductor packaging remains underdeveloped, with a high market share held by imported equipment [3] - The company is gradually increasing its market share by leveraging its technological expertise to challenge foreign competitors [3] Group 5: Profitability Metrics - For the fiscal year 2024, the gross profit margin for the company's semiconductor ultrasonic equipment is projected to be 56.65% [4] - Continuous optimization of product structure and operational efficiency is aimed at enhancing overall competitiveness [4] Group 6: Technical Barriers - The application of ultrasonic technology involves multiple disciplines, creating significant technical barriers due to the complexity of maintaining ideal resonance states and minimizing operational losses [5] Group 7: Academic Collaborations - The company has signed an agreement with Shanghai Jiao Tong University to establish a joint laboratory focused on advanced semiconductor packaging and intelligent robotics [6] - This collaboration aims to advance research in ultrasonic precision detection technology and promote talent development and technology transfer [6]