传媒周报:第1周:阿里通义万相2.1模型宣布升级,OpenAI o3 mini即将发布,建议持续关注海内外AI进展
Tianfeng Securities·2025-01-19 06:21

Investment Rating - The report indicates a "Buy" rating for the industry, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [36]. Core Insights - The media sector, represented by the Shenwan Media Index, experienced a decline of 2.02% during the week of January 6 to January 10, 2025, ranking 14th among sectors, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.34% [1][7]. - The gaming sector saw a slight decrease of 0.47%, while the film and television sector dropped by 4.15%, advertising marketing by 1.77%, publishing by 4.48%, and television broadcasting by 3.59% during the same period [1][10]. - The launch of Alibaba Cloud's Tongyi Wansiang 2.1 video generation model has significantly improved capabilities in complex motion, physical law adherence, and artistic expression, achieving a top score of 84.7% on the VBench evaluation list [1][16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Media Index fell by 2.02% from January 6 to January 10, 2025, with the gaming sector down 0.47% and the film sector down 4.15% [1][7][10]. AI Developments - ByteDance's video creation tools, Jianying and CapCut, achieved over 100% revenue growth in 2024, nearing 10 billion RMB in total revenue, with global monthly active users exceeding 800 million [2]. - The Tongyi Wansiang model's upgrade has positioned it as the leading video generation model, surpassing competitors in key capabilities [1][16]. Film Sector - The film market's total box office reached 1.1 billion RMB in January 2025, with a year-on-year decline of 3% [19]. - Seven films have been scheduled for release during the Spring Festival, including "Detective Chinatown 1900" and "Nezha: The Devil's Child" [3]. Gaming Sector - The anticipated sales for the game "Black Myth: Wukong" are projected at 28 million units, generating an estimated revenue of 9 billion RMB, accounting for 90% of the total sales for new domestic games in 2024 [4][27]. - Tencent's games dominated the iOS sales charts, with multiple titles consistently ranking in the top positions [4][28]. Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the media sector included Tianyu Digital Science (up 16.83%) and Shengguang Group (up 9.77%), while major losers included Zitian Technology (down 29.42%) and Jinyi Film (down 14.9%) [14].