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持续关注具备红利低波属性的天然气长输管网板块
国投证券·2025-01-20 10:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Continuous attention is recommended for the natural gas long-distance pipeline sector, which possesses low volatility and dividend attributes. The sector is characterized by stable business models based on "pipeline transportation fees × gas volume," making it a stable choice within the public utility sector [3][12]. - In 2024, the industrial power generation volume is expected to grow by 4.6% year-on-year, with significant increases in hydropower and nuclear power generation in December [2][12]. - The report highlights the importance of natural gas supply and demand, with a steady increase in natural gas production and consumption in China. In December 2024, the industrial natural gas output reached 21.8 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [3][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.31%, the ChiNext Index increased by 4.66%, the public utility index grew by 1.36%, and the environmental index saw a rise of 4.4% last week [1]. Market Information Tracking - The total trading volume of carbon emission allowances reached 134,100 tons this week, with a total transaction value of 0.13 billion yuan. The average transaction price in the Shanghai market was the highest at 72 yuan/ton [17]. - As of January 17, the LNG import price in China was 13.61 USD/mmbtu, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2.56% [20]. Focused Companies - Recommended companies include China General Nuclear Power, China Nuclear Power, Xinjie Energy, Shaanxi Energy, Blue Sky Gas, Fuan Energy, and Anhui Natural Gas [14][59]. - Anhui Natural Gas is noted for its stable profits and rapid gas volume growth, while Blue Sky Gas is recognized for its high dividend yield and strategic acquisitions in urban gas [3][59][61]. Industry News - The report discusses various regional initiatives, such as Sichuan's adjustment of natural gas power generation pricing and the establishment of a government-authorized pricing mechanism for coal power plants [27][28]. - The focus on green energy and low-carbon transitions is emphasized, with plans for new energy projects in Hebei and Jiangxi [30][31]. Company Dynamics - Fuan Energy reported a 23.52% year-on-year increase in total revenue for 2024, while Gansu Energy projected a net profit of 1.6 to 1.66 billion yuan for the same year [45]. - The report also highlights the strategic partnerships and projects undertaken by various companies, such as the collaboration between Haitian Co. and China Everbright Environment [46].