特朗普就任后中美未来贸易关系走向及对策分析

Group 1: U.S.-China Trade Relations - Trump's presidency marks a significant shift in U.S.-China trade relations, emphasizing "America First" policies[1] - Historical context shows that U.S. trade deficits and domestic industry concerns drive current trade strategies[3] - China's trade surplus with the U.S. reached $3.72 trillion since joining the WTO, averaging $186 billion annually[6] Group 2: Tariff Policy Implications - Tariffs are a key tool for the Trump administration to balance foreign trade relations, with a focus on industry security and geopolitical considerations[3] - The average most-favored-nation tariff rate for the U.S. is approximately 2.2%, but potential trade conflicts could raise this to over 60% for China[7] - Trump's tax policies aim to reduce corporate tax rates from 25% to 15%, encouraging domestic manufacturing and investment[5] Group 3: Strategic Recommendations for China - China should enhance its global trade and investment strategies, leveraging initiatives like the Belt and Road to mitigate tariff impacts[10] - Adjusting the RMB exchange rate may be necessary to counteract U.S. tariffs, with potential depreciation to offset trade barriers[11] - Establishing overseas manufacturing facilities can help avoid tariffs and strengthen global supply chains[9]