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电子行业存储芯片周度跟踪:南亚科预计DRAM市场第2季开始复苏,存储现货行情整体表现平稳
甬兴证券·2025-01-25 05:56

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [7] Core Viewpoints - The DRAM market is expected to begin recovery in Q2 2025, driven by positive customer sentiment due to regional economic stimulus measures [3][25] - NAND Flash average contract prices are projected to decline by 10-15% in Q1 2025, with a challenging market environment due to rising supplier inventories and decreasing order demand [2][24] - Micron Technology is investing approximately 7billioninanewHBMadvancedpackagingfacilityinSingapore,expectedtostartoperationsin2026,tomeetthegrowingdemandforartificialintelligence[3][27]SummarybySectionsIndustryNewsTheNANDmarketisfacingasignificantchallengewithaveragecontractpricesexpectedtodropby10157 billion in a new HBM advanced packaging facility in Singapore, expected to start operations in 2026, to meet the growing demand for artificial intelligence [3][27] Summary by Sections Industry News - The NAND market is facing a significant challenge with average contract prices expected to drop by 10-15% in Q1 2025 due to high inventory levels and weak demand [2][24] - The DRAM market showed a slight decline in spot prices, but a recovery is anticipated in Q2 2025 as economic conditions improve [3][25] - The overall performance of the storage spot market remains stable, with some fluctuations in SSD prices influenced by supply dynamics [4][24] Company Dynamics - Nanya Technology reported a 11-13% decline in average DRAM selling prices in Q4 2024, with a net loss of NT15.74 billion [25] - Micron's new HBM facility in Singapore aims to enhance production capacity and support NAND manufacturing needs, with HBM4 expected to achieve mass production in 2026 [3][27] - Jiangbolong's ePOP products are being utilized in AI glasses, indicating a diversification into wearable technology [28] Investment Recommendations - The HBM industry chain is expected to benefit from the rapid development of advanced computing chips, with recommendations to focus on companies like Saiteng Co., Yishitong, and Lianrui New Materials [5] - The semiconductor cycle is anticipated to recover, with recommendations for companies such as Dongxin Co. and Zhaoyi Innovation [5]