Wencan(603348) 中泰证券·2025-01-26 08:00Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next 6 to 12 months [3][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 6.25 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.6%. The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders is between 110 million and 140 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 118.1% to 177.6% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is positioned as a leader in aluminum die-casting body parts, capitalizing on the trend of integrated die-casting technology, which is anticipated to create a substantial market opportunity in the automotive sector [5][6]. - The report highlights that the company has a strong order book for integrated die-casting components, with expectations for accelerated industrialization in 2024, driven by multiple brands and models entering production [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 5.1 billion yuan in 2023, with projections of 6.25 billion yuan in 2024, 7.00 billion yuan in 2025, and 7.814 billion yuan in 2026, indicating a growth rate of 23% in 2024 and 12% in the following years [3][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 128 million yuan in 2024, 313 million yuan in 2025, and 447 million yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 155%, 144%, and 43% respectively [3][4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its decade-long experience in aluminum die-casting to lead the market in integrated die-casting technology, which is seen as a cost-effective and efficient solution for vehicle lightweighting [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the potential for significant growth in the integrated die-casting market, with the value per vehicle projected to reach at least 8,000 yuan, driven by the adoption of this technology by major automotive manufacturers [5][6]. Customer Dynamics - Key customers such as NIO and AITO have shown strong delivery growth, with NIO delivering 57,000 vehicles in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 140%, and AITO delivering 46,500 vehicles, indicating a robust demand for the company's products [5][6].