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新东方-S:新东方2025财年第二季度点评报告:二季度稳健兑现,未来指引收入增速放缓

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [4] Core Views - The company reported FY2025Q2 results with revenue and profit slightly exceeding previous guidance, but business growth is showing divergence, particularly in high-end segments like overseas education and cultural tourism, which are impacted by the macro environment [1] - The company expects a slowdown in revenue growth for FY2025, with projections adjusted from over 30% to over 25% for the year, and guidance for FY25Q3 non-selective business revenue growth set at 18%-21% [3][4] - The company anticipates a total of 1,143 schools and learning centers by FY25Q2, with a steady expansion forecast of 20%-25% for the full year [2] Financial Performance - For FY2025, the company forecasts net profits of 417million,417 million, 555 million, and 672millionforFY2025,FY2026,andFY2027respectively,withcorrespondingP/Eratiosof19.06x,14.32x,and11.83x[4][9]FY2025Q2revenuereached672 million for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.06x, 14.32x, and 11.83x [4][9] - FY2025Q2 revenue reached 1.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19%, surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 2% [8] - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY2025Q2 was $28 million, with a profit margin of 2.7% [8] Business Segments - The high-end business lines, particularly overseas exam preparation and cultural tourism, are experiencing significant growth but are also facing challenges due to macroeconomic factors [8] - K12 business remains resilient, with a year-on-year growth of 42.6% in new educational offerings for FY25Q2, and guidance for FY25Q3 growth exceeding 40% [8] - The cultural tourism segment saw a remarkable year-on-year revenue increase of 233% in FY25Q2, although growth is expected to slow in FY25Q3 due to external influences [8]