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中远海能:把握运力出清机遇,定向增发助力船队更新

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is seizing opportunities in capacity clearance and is planning a targeted issuance to support fleet renewal [2][3] - The global tanker fleet is aging, with an average age nearing 12 years, and over 42% of vessels being over 15 years old, which is impacting operational efficiency [3] - The report anticipates a continued improvement in supply-demand dynamics in the industry from 2025 to 2028, with a potential second wave of price increases post-Chinese New Year [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 22,091 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.4%, and expected to reach 28,062 million yuan by 2026 [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 3,351 million yuan in 2023 to 6,901 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a significant increase of 130.0% in 2023 [3] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 29.9% in 2023 to 35.5% in 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [3] Industry Analysis - The report notes that the supply of tanker capacity is tightening, driven by sanctions on Russian oil tankers and increasing demand from countries like India and China [3] - The company is focusing on oil and gas transportation, with a fleet of 156 oil/product tankers totaling 23.02 million tons of capacity, which is above the industry average age [3] - The planned issuance aims to raise up to 8 billion yuan to construct new vessels, which will help reduce the average age of the fleet and strengthen competitive advantages in the market [3]