Jiangsu Guoxin (002608) 华福证券·2025-02-02 15:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit for 2024, with an expected growth of approximately 63.07% to 76.44%, resulting in a projected net profit of 30.5 to 33.0 billion yuan [2][3]. - The anticipated growth in profit is attributed to the commissioning of new power generation units, a decrease in fuel costs, increased holdings in Jiangsu Bank, and ongoing efficiency improvements [3]. - The company's financial performance is expected to remain stable, with a projected revenue of 349.89 billion yuan for 2024, increasing to 432.48 billion yuan by 2026 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The projected revenue for 2024 is 34,989 million yuan, with a growth rate of 4% compared to 2023 [6]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 3,109 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 66% from the previous year [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.82 yuan in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.1 [6]. Operational Highlights - The commissioning of a new 1GW supercritical coal-fired power generation unit is expected to enhance operational capacity and profitability [3]. - The average coal price at Qinhuangdao Port is projected to decrease by 11.4% to 854.92 yuan per ton in 2024, contributing to lower fuel costs for the company [3]. - The company’s subsidiary, Jiangsu Trust, has increased its stake in Jiangsu Bank, which is expected to contribute an additional investment income of approximately 140 million yuan [4].