Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (Maintain) [1][4] Core Insights - The Japanese soft drink industry has shown significant growth in tea drinks and sugar-free beverages, with ITO EN achieving an excess return of 358.9% from 1992 to 2009, outperforming other companies [3][6] - ITO EN's revenue structure for FY 2023 shows that beverages account for 88%, with tea beverages making up 70% of that, highlighting the company's strong position in the green tea market [3][15] - The company has successfully identified and capitalized on consumer trends, launching innovative products such as sugar-free and caffeine-free options, and has diversified into barley tea and coffee markets [3][8] Summary by Sections I. Company Overview - ITO EN was established in 1966 and has grown its sales from 74.13 billion JPY in 1992 to 453.9 billion JPY in FY 2023, with a CAGR of 6.02% [15][22] - The company is a leader in the green tea beverage market, holding a 36% market share in Japan as of FY 2023 [22][23] II. Performance and Stock Price Trends - ITO EN's stock has experienced three significant price increases since its IPO, with the most notable being an 846.4% rise from 1995 to 1999, driven by market expansion and product popularity [50][57] - The company's revenue has shown consistent growth, with a CAGR of 6.42% from FY 2021 to FY 2023, despite challenges from market competition and economic fluctuations [29][43] III. Core Competitiveness Analysis - ITO EN's R&D capabilities have allowed it to lead in the ready-to-drink green tea segment, launching products that address health-conscious consumer demands [3][23] - The company has successfully entered new markets, including barley tea and coffee, to find additional growth opportunities [3][8] IV. Overseas Expansion - ITO EN's overseas revenue share increased from 1.53% in FY 2011 to 11.72% in FY 2023, although it lags behind competitors like Suntory, which has a 52% overseas revenue share [7][8] - The company has faced challenges in the Chinese market, where Suntory has gained significant market share through effective localization strategies [7][8] V. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that strong product strength, brand power, and an understanding of consumer trends are essential for success in the soft drink industry [8] - Recommended stocks include Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) for its strong brand and strategic positioning in sugar-free tea drinks, and China Resources Beverage (02460.HK) for its growth potential [8]
日本食饮深度报告系列之四:伊藤园:日本软饮头部公司崛起之路
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES·2025-02-03 05:40