2月十大金股：二月策略和十大金股

Market Overview - The overseas market is primarily focused on the impact of tariffs and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, leading to a mixed sentiment in the A-share market[4] - The overall tariff impact is less severe than expected, allowing for potential negotiation space, which helps to stabilize market sentiment[4] - A-shares are expected to trend upwards in February due to improved liquidity and policy expectations from the Two Sessions[4] Top Stock Picks - Semiconductor leader SMIC (688981.SH) is projected to achieve revenues of 574.77 billion, 655.70 billion, and 742.45 billion from 2024 to 2026, with a "buy" rating[16] - Aojie Technology-U (688220.SH) anticipates a revenue of approximately 33.86 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of about 30.23%[18] - Hangzhou Steel (600126.SH) expects a net profit of 16.8 million in 2023, down 64.99% year-on-year due to weak demand in the steel industry[20] - Zhejiang Rongtai (603119.SH) forecasts a net profit of 0.975-1.045 billion in the first half of 2024, representing a growth of 40%-50%[39] - JunDa Co. (002865.SZ) is projected to achieve revenues of 196.26 billion, 245.26 billion, and 294.26 billion from 2024 to 2026, with a "buy" rating[47] - Shanjin International (000975.SZ) reported a revenue of 65.05 billion in the first half of 2024, up 42.27% year-on-year[49] Risk Factors - Uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies and potential shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy pose risks to market stability[5] - The steel industry faces significant pressure from high raw material prices and weak demand, impacting profitability for companies like Hangzhou Steel[20] - Risks related to macroeconomic fluctuations and competition in the semiconductor and technology sectors could affect companies like SMIC and Aojie Technology-U[17][19]