Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the increasing complexity of fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV) in low-income countries, predicting that by 2030, over half of the world's extreme poor will reside in such contexts [2][7] - Adaptive social protection (ASP) programs have shown positive impacts on poverty and vulnerability, but their effectiveness in FCV settings is less documented [3][8] - The study conducted by the Sahel Adaptive Social Protection Program (SASPP) involved nearly 400 qualitative interviews with beneficiaries in Burkina Faso and Cameroon to understand the impacts of ASP in FCV environments [10][11] Summary by Sections Key Recommendations - Longer-term and greater support should be provided for households facing significant conflict and insecurity, as beneficiaries often prioritize immediate needs over long-term investments due to security concerns [15][17] - Programs should incorporate flexibility in objectives to adapt to changing security environments, recognizing that insecurity varies across regions [19][21] - Designing programs to strengthen social cohesion is crucial, as beneficiaries reported forming new relationships and sharing resources, which can act as informal social insurance [24][25] - Strengthening communication is essential to boost trust in government and reinforce the social contract, as awareness of government involvement in ASP programs positively influences beneficiaries' attitudes [27][28] Channels of Impact - The study identified three key channels through which ASP programs impact individuals and communities: material, social, and political [13] - Material channel: Redistribution of resources improves economic wellbeing and resilience to shocks [13] - Social channel: Programs foster new relationships and community participation, acting as social insurance mechanisms [13] - Political channel: Resource allocation enhances trust in government and strengthens the social contract [13] Operational Recommendations - Providing longer-term support is necessary in FCV settings to address the limited access to markets and income-generating activities [17][18] - Programs should adapt to the specific contexts of insecurity, prioritizing safeguarding consumption and human capital over long-term productivity goals [21][22] - Communication strategies must be robust to manage perceptions and grievances among non-beneficiaries, ensuring transparency in program targeting [26][32]
如何在脆弱、冲突和暴力的背景下最大限度地发挥适应性社会保护的影响：布基纳法索和喀麦隆的四个操作经验教训（英）2025
世界银行·2025-02-05 03:15