Investment Rating - The report indicates that enhancing data transparency can lead to increased sovereign bond returns, particularly in countries with medium to higher levels of institutional quality [3][10][25]. Core Insights - Improved data transparency can mitigate the negative impact of high debt levels on bond returns, suggesting that even highly indebted countries can attract global investors through enhanced transparency [3][10][25]. - The study identifies a threshold effect, indicating that countries need to achieve a certain level of institutional quality (ICRG score greater than 4.15) for international creditors to benefit from improved data transparency [3][10][25]. - The empirical analysis demonstrates that both creditors and debtors can benefit from increased data transparency, with significant implications for investment decisions in sovereign bonds [34][35]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The report explores the relationship between data transparency and sovereign bond returns, focusing on the benefits for global investors rather than just sovereign borrowers [7][8]. Estimation Technique and Data - The study employs Fixed Effect Instrumental Variables (FE-IV) for panel data analysis to estimate the impact of data transparency on sovereign bond returns, controlling for various macroeconomic and financial factors [12][14][18]. Empirical Analysis - The findings reveal that enhancing data transparency leads to higher bond returns in countries with medium to higher levels of institutional quality, while high levels of public debt generally correlate with lower bond returns [25][26][30]. - The analysis shows that improving data transparency can still attract investors even in highly leveraged countries, thus increasing bond returns [27][30]. Calculating Creditors' Benefits - The report quantifies the potential gains for international creditors from improving data transparency in borrowing countries, estimating significant increases in bond returns across various regions [32][63]. Conclusion - The study concludes that greater data transparency enhances sovereign bond returns, particularly in countries with adequate institutional quality, and highlights the mutual benefits for both creditors and debtors [34][35].
Boosting Data Transparency
世界银行·2025-02-05 23:03