东江集团控股：Pave way for future growth

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for TK Group (Holdings) Limited with a target price of HK$2.48, indicating an upside potential of 28.6$1.93 [1]. Core Insights - TK Group expects a net profit growth of over 20% year-on-year for FY24E, with preliminary results aligning closely with estimates at approximately HK$260 million [2]. - The growth is attributed to a rebound in overseas business, significant revenue growth from domestic operations, and over 20$900-1,000 million, supported by demand from mobile phones, wearables, and other sectors, which accounted for over 60% of the total order book in 1H24 [4]. - TK Group's client diversification is progressing well, with new orders from leading brands in the headset and professional audio sectors [5]. Financial Performance and Projections - The financial position remains strong, with net operating cash inflow of approximately HK$150 million and a net cash position of around HK$1.06 billion, representing about 65% of the market cap [6]. - FY24E capital expenditures are expected to be similar to FY23, around HK$70-80 million, with a planned increase in FY25E for capacity expansion [7]. - Revenue and net profit are projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8% and 15.9% respectively from FY23 to FY26E [11]. - The report anticipates a dip in free cash flow in FY25E due to increased capital expenditures, but expects normalization in FY26E/27E [12]. Market Position and Valuation - TK Group is positioned as a leading total plastics solutions provider in China, with a strong client base including major global brands [9]. - The valuation remains undemanding, with a FY25E price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0x, which is approximately 50% lower than Hong Kong and international peers [11]. - The report highlights that TK Group's dividend payout ratio is expected to remain above 40%, translating to a dividend yield of 13.4% in FY24E [12].